Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics
Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics
Games tagged both Metroidvania and Pixel Graphics: 112 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Metroidvania and beats Pixel Graphics; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics beats both its tags: 35.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.0 in 100 for Metroidvania and 24.2 in 100 for Pixel Graphics.
That is about 1.7 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 31 games tagged both Metroidvania and Pixel Graphics priced $10 to $20. 35.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 25.5 in 100 for Metroidvania-only games and 23.5 in 100 for Pixel Graphics-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 31 games priced $10 to $20; 35.5 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 100 in 100 · $10k+ 84 in 100 · $100k+ 35 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 31 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view109 of 112 launches | Without the breakout111 of 112 launches | Last 18 months41 of 112 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11217 hits | 10915 hits | 11116 hits | 415 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.2 in 100 | 13.8 in 100 | 14.4 in 100 | 12.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $4,271top tenth $307,442+ | $3,753 | $3,753 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -9.3%1.4 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.8 fewer in 100 | -19.7%3.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -12.1%$518 less | -12.1%$518 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Metroidvania and Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 112 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 112 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, ANIMAL WELL (47.9% of the money): 111 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 112.
Metroidvania is one-hit market +1: one game earned over half the money, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Last 18 months.
| Metroidvania | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view364 of 376 launches | Without the breakout375 of 376 launches | Last 18 months114 of 376 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 37658 hits | 36454 hits | 37557 hits | 11413 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.4 in 100 | 14.8 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,085top tenth $217,878+ | $3,120 | $3,052 | $3,120 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.8%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -26.1%4.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.1%$35 more | -1.1%$33 less | +1.1%$35 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Metroidvania, 12 to 36 months old: 376 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 376 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (72.7% of the money): 375 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 376.
Pixel Graphics is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Pixel Graphics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,562 of 3,756 launches | Without the breakout3,755 of 3,756 launches | Last 18 months1,106 of 3,756 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,756211 hits | 3,562193 hits | 3,755210 hits | 1,10669 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $460top tenth $32,384+ | $478 | $460 | $399 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.5%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +11.1%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.9%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -13.3%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Pixel Graphics, 12 to 36 months old: 3,756 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 194 of 3,756 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (22.7% of the money): 3,755 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,106 of 3,756.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Metroidvania + Pixel Graphics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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