Niche

Military + Shooter

Games tagged both Military and Shooter: 109 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Military + Shooter priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Military and is about level with Shooter; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Military and is too small to compare with Shooter.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Military + Shooter is too small to compare with Military and is too small to compare with Shooter: 5 of its 23 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.3 in 100 for Military and 18.7 in 100 for Shooter.

Small sample: 23 launches, 5 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneMilitary

20.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.3 in 100

Typical earnings$10,189

Launches69 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairMilitary + Shooter

5 of 23launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds5 of 23 launches

Typical earnings$3,292

Launches23 / 5 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoShooter

18.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.7 in 100

Typical earnings$7,216

Launches363 / 68 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices109 in pair Under $549 in pair $5 to $1033 in pair $10 to $2023 in pair$20 to $404: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both Military and Shooter priced $10 to $20. 5 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 19.6 in 100 for Military-only games and 18.5 in 100 for Shooter-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Military alone and is too small to compare with Shooter alone.

Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 23 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,292.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Gray Zone Warfareleads this pair62.0%

PairGray Zone Warfare62.0%

MilitaryGray Zone Warfare54.4%

ShooterGray Zone Warfare20.1%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Military + Shooter

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Gray Zone Warfare earned 62.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 109 Military + Shooter launches.
It also leads Military, with 54.4% of that tag's money.
It also leads Shooter, with 20.1% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Military + Shooter is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Military + Shooter through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view103 of 109 launches	Without the breakout108 of 109 launches	Last 18 months21 of 109 launches
Launches counted	1099 hits	1039 hits	1088 hits	214 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.7 in 1001 in 11	7.4 in 1001 in 14	4 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$383top tenth $52,429+	$426	$383	$516
Chance against standard	the base	+5.8%0.5 more in 100	-10.3%0.8 fewer in 100	+130.7%10.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+11.2%$43 more	0.0%no change	+34.7%$133 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Military and Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 109 launches.

Launches counted: 1099 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $383top tenth $52,429+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 109 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1039 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.7 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $426
Chance against standard: +5.8%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +11.2%$43 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (62.0% of the money): 108 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1088 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $383
Chance against standard: -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 109.

Launches counted: 214 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $516
Chance against standard: +130.7%10.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +34.7%$133 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Military and Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 109 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 109 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (62.0% of the money): 108 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 109.

Military is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Military through every lens, all prices
Military	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view263 of 279 launches	Without the breakout278 of 279 launches	Last 18 months78 of 279 launches
Launches counted	27927 hits	26326 hits	27826 hits	7811 hits
Earned $100k+	9.7 in 1001 in 10	9.9 in 1001 in 10	9.4 in 1001 in 11	14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$798top tenth $78,660+	$847	$798	$1,912
Chance against standard	the base	+2.2%0.2 more in 100	-3.4%0.3 fewer in 100	+45.7%4.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.1%$49 more	0.0%no change	+139.6%$1,114 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Military, 12 to 36 months old: 279 launches.

Launches counted: 27927 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $798top tenth $78,660+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 26326 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.9 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $847
Chance against standard: +2.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +6.1%$49 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (54.4% of the money): 278 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 27826 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.4 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $798
Chance against standard: -3.4%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 78 of 279.

Launches counted: 7811 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,912
Chance against standard: +45.7%4.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +139.6%$1,114 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Military, 12 to 36 months old: 279 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (54.4% of the money): 278 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 78 of 279.

Shooter holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Shooter through every lens, all prices
Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,375 of 2,466 launches	Without the breakout2,465 of 2,466 launches	Last 18 months641 of 2,466 launches
Launches counted	2,466137 hits	2,375130 hits	2,465136 hits	64137 hits
Earned $100k+	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.5 in 1001 in 18	5.5 in 1001 in 18	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$313top tenth $18,809+	$329	$313	$306
Chance against standard	the base	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.7%no change	+3.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.1%$16 more	0.0%no change	-2.2%$7 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 2,466 launches.

Launches counted: 2,466137 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $313top tenth $18,809+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 2,466 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,375130 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $329
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.1%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.1% of the money): 2,465 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,465136 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $313
Chance against standard: -0.7%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 641 of 2,466.

Launches counted: 64137 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $306
Chance against standard: +3.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -2.2%$7 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 2,466 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 2,466 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.1% of the money): 2,465 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 641 of 2,466.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Military + Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.