Niche

Minimalist + Roguelike

Games tagged both Minimalist and Roguelike: 50 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Minimalist + Roguelike priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Minimalist + Roguelike is too small to compare with Minimalist and is too small to compare with Roguelike: 0 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.6 in 100 for Minimalist and 0.6 in 100 for Roguelike.

Small sample: 27 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagMinimalist

0.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 157

Typical earnings$114

Launches787 / 5 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairMinimalist + Roguelike

0 of 27launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 27 launches

Typical earnings$115

Launches27 / 0 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoRoguelike

0.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 169

Typical earnings$183

Launches1,016 / 6 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Minimalist is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices50 in pair Under $527 in pair $5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $206: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Minimalist and Roguelike priced under $5. 0 of 27 of them earned $100k+, against 0.7 in 100 for Minimalist-only games and 0.6 in 100 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Minimalist alone and is too small to compare with Roguelike alone.

Both: 27 games priced under $5; 0 of 27 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $115.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rift Wizard 2leads this pair34.4%

PairRift Wizard 234.4%

MinimalistCast n Chill18.6%

RoguelikeHades II15.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Minimalist + Roguelike

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rift Wizard 2 earned 34.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 50 Minimalist + Roguelike launches.
Minimalist is led by Cast n Chill, with 18.6% of its money.
Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 15.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Minimalist + Roguelike holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Minimalist + Roguelike through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view47 of 50 launches	Without the breakout49 of 50 launches	Last 18 months16 of 50 launches
Launches counted	501 hits	471 hits	490 hits	160 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 50too few for a rate	1 of 47too few for a rate	0 of 49too few for a rate	0 of 16too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$510top tenth $30,814+	$552	$397	$957
Chance against standard	the base	+6.4%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell	-100.0%2.0 fewer in 100	-100.0%2.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+8.2%$42 more; too few to tell	-22.2%$113 less	+87.6%$447 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Minimalist and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 50 launches.

Launches counted: 501 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 50too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $510top tenth $30,814+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 50 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 471 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 47too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $552
Chance against standard: +6.4%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +8.2%$42 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift Wizard 2 (34.4% of the money): 49 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 490 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 49too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $397
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -22.2%$113 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 50.

Launches counted: 160 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 16too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $957
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +87.6%$447 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Minimalist and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 50 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 50 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift Wizard 2 (34.4% of the money): 49 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 50.

Minimalist holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Minimalist through every lens, all prices
Minimalist	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,035 of 1,066 launches	Without the breakout1,065 of 1,066 launches	Last 18 months319 of 1,066 launches
Launches counted	1,06623 hits	1,03523 hits	1,06522 hits	3199 hits
Earned $100k+	2.2 in 1001 in 46	2.2 in 1001 in 45	2.1 in 1001 in 48	2.8 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings	$186top tenth $5,341+	$191	$184	$172
Chance against standard	the base	+3.0%0.1 more in 100	-4.3%0.1 fewer in 100	+30.8%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.7%$5 more	-1.1%$2 less	-7.5%$14 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,066 launches.

Launches counted: 1,06623 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.2 in 1001 in 46
Typical first-year earnings: $186top tenth $5,341+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,066 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,03523 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.2 in 1001 in 45
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: +3.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.7%$5 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.6% of the money): 1,065 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,06522 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.1 in 1001 in 48
Typical first-year earnings: $184
Chance against standard: -4.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.1%$2 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 319 of 1,066.

Launches counted: 3199 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $172
Chance against standard: +30.8%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.5%$14 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,066 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,066 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.6% of the money): 1,065 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 319 of 1,066.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
Roguelike	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launches	Without the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launches	Last 18 months639 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted	2,082166 hits	1,939152 hits	2,081165 hits	63954 hits
Earned $100k+	8.0 in 1001 in 13	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.9 in 1001 in 13	8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$965top tenth $63,646+	$1,065	$958	$1,052
Chance against standard	the base	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.6%no change	+6.0%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+10.4%$100 more	-0.7%$7 less	+9.0%$87 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted: 2,082166 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $965top tenth $63,646+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,939152 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,065
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +10.4%$100 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (15.9% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,081165 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $958
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: -0.7%$7 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 639 of 2,082.

Launches counted: 63954 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,052
Chance against standard: +6.0%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +9.0%$87 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (15.9% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 639 of 2,082.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Minimalist + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.