Niche

Multiplayer + Sci-fi

Games tagged both Multiplayer and Sci-fi: 47 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Multiplayer + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Multiplayer and is too small to compare with Sci-fi.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Multiplayer + Sci-fi is too small to compare with Multiplayer and is too small to compare with Sci-fi: 3 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 31.1 in 100 for Multiplayer and 19.6 in 100 for Sci-fi.

Small sample: 11 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagMultiplayer

31.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds31.1 in 100

Typical earnings$28,765

Launches267 / 83 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairMultiplayer + Sci-fi

3 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 11 launches

$1k+6 of 11 launches

$10k+4 of 11 launches

Launches11 / 3 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIETied

Tag twomood tagSci-fi

19.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.6 in 100

Typical earnings$9,763

Launches240 / 47 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Multiplayer is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices47 in pair Under $516 in pair $5 to $1014 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $406: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Multiplayer and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 3 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 31.3 in 100 for Multiplayer-only games and 19.2 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Multiplayer alone and is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 6 of 11 launches · $10k+ 4 of 11 launches · $100k+ 3 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Abiotic Factorleads this pair55.7%

PairAbiotic Factor55.7%

MultiplayerPalworld21.5%

Sci-fiAbiotic Factor12.7%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Multiplayer + Sci-fi

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Abiotic Factor earned 55.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 47 Multiplayer + Sci-fi launches.
Multiplayer is led by Palworld, with 21.5% of its money.
It also leads Sci-fi, with 12.7% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Multiplayer + Sci-fi is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Multiplayer + Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view47 of 47 launches	Without the breakout46 of 47 launches	Last 18 months14 of 47 launches
Launches counted	479 hits	479 hits	468 hits	143 hits
Earned $100k+	19.1 in 100	19.1 in 100	17.4 in 100	3 of 14too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	30 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 47 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-9.2%1.8 fewer in 100	+11.9%2.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiplayer and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 47 launches.

Launches counted: 479 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.1 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 30 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 47 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 47 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 479 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.1 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (55.7% of the money): 46 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 468 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -9.2%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 47.

Launches counted: 143 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 14too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +11.9%2.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiplayer and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 47 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 47 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (55.7% of the money): 46 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 47.

Multiplayer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Multiplayer through every lens, all prices
Multiplayer	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,285 of 1,326 launches	Without the breakout1,325 of 1,326 launches	Last 18 months382 of 1,326 launches
Launches counted	1,326204 hits	1,285195 hits	1,325203 hits	38264 hits
Earned $100k+	15.4 in 100	15.2 in 100	15.3 in 100	16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,243top tenth $335,136+	$1,264	$1,237	$1,414
Chance against standard	the base	-1.4%0.2 fewer in 100	-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+8.9%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$21 more	-0.5%$6 less	+13.8%$171 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,326 launches.

Launches counted: 1,326204 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,243top tenth $335,136+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,285195 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,264
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$21 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (21.5% of the money): 1,325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,325203 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,237
Chance against standard: -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$6 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,326.

Launches counted: 38264 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,414
Chance against standard: +8.9%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +13.8%$171 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,326 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (21.5% of the money): 1,325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,326.

Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fi	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,208 of 1,242 launches	Without the breakout1,241 of 1,242 launches	Last 18 months323 of 1,242 launches
Launches counted	1,242111 hits	1,208107 hits	1,241110 hits	32326 hits
Earned $100k+	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$545top tenth $74,428+	$545	$545	$579
Chance against standard	the base	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-9.9%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+6.2%$34 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.

Launches counted: 1,242111 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545top tenth $74,428+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,208107 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,241110 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.

Launches counted: 32326 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $579
Chance against standard: -9.9%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +6.2%$34 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Multiplayer + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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