Multiple Endings + Immersive Sim: a typical launch earns $3,527 in its first year

That is the median of 46 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 77 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 22% on the year before: 40 against 51.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $3,527
Price vs a year earlier: −45.9%
Releases, 12 months: 40
Upcoming games: 113
Games on the store: 280

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Multiple Endings + Immersive Sim on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.05% to 0.10%	17 ranked of 113 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,119 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	2.14xhits against expected	1.55x to 2.94x	77 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,826 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+43%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+4% to +99%	22 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#255 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	−15%review growth against same-age games	−26% to −3%	22 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,470 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 5.0

Launches: 77
Hit rate: 18.2%12.1% to 34.5%
Expected rate: 6.4%
Against expected: 2.14x1.55x to 2.94x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

77 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $145
Median: $3,996
Top tenth: $191,679

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 40
Prior 12 months: 51

Change: −22%
Against Steam: −41%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Multiple EndingsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Immersive SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

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pairs with Multiple Endings

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Every pair with Multiple Endings

More with Immersive Sim

pairs with Immersive Sim

Cinematic + Immersive Sim$24,23132 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
Capitalism + Immersive Sim$16,42037 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Multiplayer + Immersive Sim$15,00039 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Economy + Immersive Sim$14,95288 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
Immersive Sim + Management$8,720136 launches priced, 195 releases in 12 months
Building + Immersive Sim$7,64451 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Immersive Sim

Verdicts

in development

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