Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Settings
Text size
Game Market DataBuild what sells
Live games
191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Multiple Endings + Visual Novel

Niche

Multiple Endings + Visual Novel

Games tagged both Multiple Endings and Visual Novel: 459 indie paid launches, 39 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Multiple Endings + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20, west-facing view, hiding samples under 100 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Multiple Endings and beats Visual Novel.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Multiple Endings + Visual Novel trails Multiple Endings and beats Visual Novel: 20.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.9 in 100 for Multiple Endings and 14.6 in 100 for Visual Novel.

That is about 1.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.

1STWinner
Tag onemood tagMultiple Endings
21.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds21.9 in 100
Typical earnings$10,237
Launches233 / 51 hits
Pair trails by1.9 in 100
2NDRunner-up
This pairMultiple Endings + Visual Novel
20.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.0 in 100
Typical earnings$6,476
Launches105 / 21 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
3RDThird
Tag twoVisual Novel
14.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.6 in 100
Typical earnings$7,366
Launches460 / 67 hits
Pair leads by5.4 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Multiple Endings is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices459 in pairUnder $5186 in pair$5 to $10138 in pair$10 to $20105 in pair$20 to $4030 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 105 games tagged both Multiple Endings and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 20.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.4 for Multiple Endings-only games and 13.0 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix trails Multiple Endings alone and beats Visual Novel alone.

Both: 105 games priced $10 to $20; 20.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,476.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 105 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynastyleads this pair22.8%
PairThe Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty22.8%
Multiple EndingsLegend of Mortal12.0%
Visual NovelUntil Then7.5%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Multiple Endings + Visual Novel

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty earned 22.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 459 Multiple Endings + Visual Novel launches.
  • Multiple Endings is led by Legend of Mortal, with 12.0% of its money.
  • Visual Novel is led by Until Then, with 7.5% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Multiple Endings + Visual Novel is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

Multiple Endings + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view383 of 459 launchesWithout the breakout458 of 459 launchesLast 18 months265 of 459 launches
Launches counted45939 hits38323 hits45838 hits26520 hits
Earned $100k+8.5 in 1001 in 126.0 in 1001 in 178.3 in 1001 in 127.5 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$1,361top tenth $84,980+$1,211$1,361$889
Chance against standardthe yardstick-29.4%2.5 fewer in 100-2.4%0.2 fewer in 100-11.8%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-11.0%$150 less0.0%no change-34.7%$472 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiple Endings and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 459 launches.

Launches counted
45939 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,361top tenth $84,980+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 76 of 459 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
38323 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$1,211
Chance against standard
-29.4%2.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-11.0%$150 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (22.8% of the money): 458 launches left.

Launches counted
45838 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,361
Chance against standard
-2.4%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 265 of 459.

Launches counted
26520 hits
Earned $100k+
7.5 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$889
Chance against standard
-11.8%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-34.7%$472 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiple Endings and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 459 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 76 of 459 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (22.8% of the money): 458 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 265 of 459.

Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Multiple Endings through every lens, all prices
Multiple EndingsBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,161 of 1,318 launchesWithout the breakout1,317 of 1,318 launchesLast 18 months750 of 1,318 launches
Launches counted1,31896 hits1,16168 hits1,31795 hits75045 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 145.9 in 1001 in 177.2 in 1001 in 146.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings$1,048top tenth $60,473+$1,007$1,029$808
Chance against standardthe yardstick-19.2%1.4 fewer in 100-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100-17.8%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-3.9%$41 less-1.8%$19 less-22.9%$240 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.

Launches counted
1,31896 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,048top tenth $60,473+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,16168 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$1,007
Chance against standard
-19.2%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-3.9%$41 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.

Launches counted
1,31795 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,029
Chance against standard
-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.8%$19 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.

Launches counted
75045 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$808
Chance against standard
-17.8%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-22.9%$240 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.

Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual NovelBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,823 of 2,114 launchesWithout the breakout2,113 of 2,114 launchesLast 18 months1,162 of 2,114 launches
Launches counted2,114130 hits1,823100 hits2,113129 hits1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+6.1 in 1001 in 165.5 in 1001 in 186.1 in 1001 in 165.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$1,293top tenth $48,802+$1,214$1,287$910
Chance against standardthe yardstick-9.8%0.6 fewer in 1000.0%no change-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-6.1%$79 less-0.5%$6 less-29.6%$383 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.

Launches counted
2,114130 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,293top tenth $48,802+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,823100 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$1,214
Chance against standard
-9.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-6.1%$79 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.

Launches counted
2,113129 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,287
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-0.5%$6 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

Launches counted
1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$910
Chance against standard
-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-29.6%$383 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Multiple Endings + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.