Niche

Music + Rhythm

Games tagged both Music and Rhythm: 80 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Music + Rhythm priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Music and beats Rhythm; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Music and is too small to compare with Rhythm.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Music + Rhythm is too small to compare with Music and is too small to compare with Rhythm: 11 of its 23 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 41.2 in 100 for Music and 22.6 in 100 for Rhythm.

Small sample: 23 launches, 11 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneMusic

41.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds41.2 in 100

$1k+97 in 100

$10k+79 in 100

Launches34 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairMusic + Rhythm

11 of 23launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds11 of 23 launches

$1k+22 of 23 launches

$10k+19 of 23 launches

Launches23 / 11 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoRhythm

22.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds22.6 in 100

$1k+90 in 100

$10k+58 in 100

Launches62 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices80 in pair Under $534 in pair $5 to $1019 in pair $10 to $2023 in pair$20 to $404: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both Music and Rhythm priced $10 to $20. 11 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 3 of 11 for Music-only games and 3 of 39 for Rhythm-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Music alone and is too small to compare with Rhythm alone.

Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 11 of 23 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 22 of 23 launches · $10k+ 19 of 23 launches · $100k+ 11 of 23 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rift of the NecroDancerleads this pair24.0%

PairRift of the NecroDancer24.0%

MusicSpirit City: Lofi Sessions18.6%

RhythmRift of the NecroDancer17.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Music + Rhythm

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rift of the NecroDancer earned 24.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 80 Music + Rhythm launches.
Music is led by Spirit City: Lofi Sessions, with 18.6% of its money.
It also leads Rhythm, with 17.6% of that tag's money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Music + Rhythm is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Music + Rhythm through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view79 of 80 launches	Without the breakout79 of 80 launches	Last 18 months20 of 80 launches
Launches counted	8014 hits	7914 hits	7913 hits	206 hits
Earned $100k+	17.5 in 100	17.7 in 100	16.5 in 100	6 of 20too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.3%0.2 more in 100	-6.0%1.0 fewer in 100	+71.4%12.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Music and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 80 launches.

Launches counted: 8014 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 80 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7914 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.7 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.3%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (24.0% of the money): 79 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7913 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.5 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -6.0%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 80.

Launches counted: 206 hits
Earned $100k+: 6 of 20too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +71.4%12.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Music and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 80 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 80 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (24.0% of the money): 79 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 80.

Music is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Music through every lens, all prices
Music	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view142 of 144 launches	Without the breakout143 of 144 launches	Last 18 months37 of 144 launches
Launches counted	14421 hits	14221 hits	14320 hits	379 hits
Earned $100k+	14.6 in 100	14.8 in 100	14.0 in 100	24.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,181top tenth $249,374+	$1,189	$1,116	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.2 more in 100	-4.1%0.6 fewer in 100	+66.8%9.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.7%$8 more	-5.5%$65 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Music, 12 to 36 months old: 144 launches.

Launches counted: 14421 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,181top tenth $249,374+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 144 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 14221 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,189
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +0.7%$8 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (18.6% of the money): 143 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 14320 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,116
Chance against standard: -4.1%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -5.5%$65 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 37 of 144.

Launches counted: 379 hits
Earned $100k+: 24.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +66.8%9.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Music, 12 to 36 months old: 144 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 144 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Spirit City: Lofi Sessions (18.6% of the money): 143 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 37 of 144.

Rhythm holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Rhythm through every lens, all prices
Rhythm	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view339 of 358 launches	Without the breakout357 of 358 launches	Last 18 months91 of 358 launches
Launches counted	35819 hits	33919 hits	35718 hits	917 hits
Earned $100k+	5.3 in 1001 in 19	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.0 in 1001 in 20	7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$338top tenth $37,618+	$356	$325	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+5.6%0.3 more in 100	-5.0%0.3 fewer in 100	+44.9%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.3%$18 more	-3.8%$13 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 358 launches.

Launches counted: 35819 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $338top tenth $37,618+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 358 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 33919 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $356
Chance against standard: +5.6%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +5.3%$18 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.6% of the money): 357 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35718 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $325
Chance against standard: -5.0%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.8%$13 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 91 of 358.

Launches counted: 917 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +44.9%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 358 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 358 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.6% of the money): 357 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 91 of 358.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Music + Rhythm moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.