Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Mystery / Dating Sim
Mystery + Dating Sim: 14 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 11 of 31 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 42% on the year before: 14 against 24.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 14 24 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 58 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 145 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.27% | 8 ranked of 58 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,553 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 2.21xhits against expected | 1.60x to 2.93x | 31 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,821 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 31
- Hit rate
- 35.5%24.8% to 45.3%
- Expected rate
- 10.8%
- Against expected
- 2.21x1.60x to 2.93x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
31 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $363
- Median
- $12,732
- Top tenth
- $220,322
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −42%
Parent tags
- MysteryNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Dating SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Revenge on gold diggers (opens the Steam store)2025 · 46,611 reviews, 80% positiveest. $3.7M
- Game of Fate 2: A Century's Promise (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,055 reviews, 78% positiveest. $342k
- Paradise (opens the Steam store)2024 · 562 reviews, 90% positiveest. $227k
- Game of Fate: Chasing Through Time (opens the Steam store)2024 · 990 reviews, 88% positiveest. $220k
- Mojika - Truth Rears Its Ugly Head (opens the Steam store)2025 · 412 reviews, 77% positiveest. $208k
- Sisters: Last Day of Summer (opens the Steam store)2024 · 410 reviews, 84% positiveest. $207k
- 极速营救 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,860 reviews, 86% positiveest. $207k
- Folie Fatale (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,612 reviews, 86% positiveest. $184k
More with Mystery
pairs with Mystery- Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
More with Dating Sim
pairs with Dating Sim- Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
- Dating Sim + LGBTQ+$7,36631 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- Dating Sim + Otome$6,91133 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
- Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Immersive Sim + Dating Sim$5,95146 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.