Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Mystery + Noir: 26 releases in the last 12 months

There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 12 of 33 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 30% on the year before: 26 against 20.

Price: n/a
Price vs a year earlier: n/a
Releases, 12 months: 26
Upcoming games: 85
Games on the store: 213

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Mystery + Noir on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.16%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.37%	14 ranked of 85 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#5,249 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	2.23xhits against expected	1.63x to 2.94x	33 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#80 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+21%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−23% to +96%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#723 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+11%review growth against same-age games	+2% to +27%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#249 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 12
Expected: 3.7

Launches: 33
Hit rate: 36.4%14.0% to 48.6%
Expected rate: 11.3%
Against expected: 2.23x1.63x to 2.94x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

33 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $242
Median: $7,687
Top tenth: $477,883

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 26
Prior 12 months: 20

Change: +30%
Against Steam: −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

MysteryNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
NoirNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Mystery

pairs with Mystery

Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Mystery

More with Noir

pairs with Noir

2D + Noirno price55 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Noirno price46 releases in 12 months
Casual + Noirno price43 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Noirno price40 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Noirno price36 releases in 12 months
Detective + Noirno price35 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Noir

Verdicts

in development

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