Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Mystery + Psychological
Mystery + Psychological
Games tagged both Mystery and Psychological: 111 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Psychological priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Mystery and is level with Psychological; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Psychological trails both its tags: 2 of its 17 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 18.5 in 100 for Psychological.
Small sample: 17 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both Mystery and Psychological priced $10 to $20. 11.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.4 for Mystery-only games and 21.6 for Psychological-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 11.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,096.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Psychological is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view104 of 111 launches | Without the breakout110 of 111 launches | Last 18 months70 of 111 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1115 hits | 1045 hits | 1104 hits | 701 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $969top tenth $29,758+ | $971 | $969 | $849 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.7%0.3 more in 100 | -20.0%0.9 fewer in 100 | -68.9%3.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -12.4%$120 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Psychological, 6 to 30 months old: 111 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 111 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (70.3% of the money): 110 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 70 of 111.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Psychological is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Psychological | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view505 of 541 launches | Without the breakout540 of 541 launches | Last 18 months329 of 541 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 54126 hits | 50526 hits | 54025 hits | 32911 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,010top tenth $24,401+ | $1,010 | $1,010 | $666 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.3%0.3 more in 100 | -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -31.3%1.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -34.1%$344 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological, 6 to 30 months old: 541 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 541 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (24.1% of the money): 540 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 329 of 541.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Psychological moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.