Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Mystery + Puzzle
Games tagged both Mystery and Puzzle: 536 indie paid launches, 45 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Puzzle priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Puzzle trails Mystery and beats Puzzle: 17.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 13.8 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 144 games tagged both Mystery and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 17.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 27.7 for Mystery-only games and 13.0 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix trails Mystery alone and beats Puzzle alone.
Both: 144 games priced $10 to $20; 17.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,238.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 144 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view504 of 536 launches | Without the breakout535 of 536 launches | Last 18 months313 of 536 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 53645 hits | 50442 hits | 53544 hits | 31325 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,213top tenth $64,268+ | $1,112 | $1,213 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | -4.8%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -8.3%$101 less | 0.0%no change | -16.7%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 536 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 536 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (27.9% of the money): 535 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 536.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.