Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Mystery + Surreal
Games tagged both Mystery and Surreal: 78 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Surreal priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Surreal beats both its tags: 4 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 19.4 in 100 for Surreal.
Small sample: 11 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Mystery and Surreal priced $10 to $20. 36.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.2 for Mystery-only games and 17.1 for Surreal-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 36.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $25,097.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Surreal is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view73 of 78 launches | Without the breakout77 of 78 launches | Last 18 months42 of 78 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 789 hits | 739 hits | 778 hits | 423 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.5 in 100 | 12.3 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,728top tenth $106,813+ | $2,728 | $2,627 | $2,102 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.0%0.8 more in 100 | -9.6%1.1 fewer in 100 | -38.3%4.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -3.7%$101 less | -22.9%$626 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 78 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DEAD LETTER DEPT. (25.2% of the money): 77 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 78.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Surreal holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view657 of 678 launches | Without the breakout677 of 678 launches | Last 18 months368 of 678 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 67843 hits | 65742 hits | 67742 hits | 36822 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,271top tenth $50,389+ | $1,214 | $1,271 | $1,271 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -4.8%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%$57 less | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 678 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 678 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.0% of the money): 677 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 368 of 678.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.