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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Mystery Dungeon + RPG

Niche

Mystery Dungeon + RPG

Games tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG: 77 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Mystery Dungeon + RPG priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Mystery Dungeon + RPG is too small to compare with Mystery Dungeon and is too small to compare with RPG: 1 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 2 of 38 launches for Mystery Dungeon and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.

Small sample: 14 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie
2 of 38launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 38 launches
Typical earnings$2,854
Launches38 / 2 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairMystery Dungeon + RPG
1 of 14launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds1 of 14 launches
Typical earnings$408
Launches14 / 1 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoRPG
17.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,454
Launches786 / 138 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG priced $10 to $20. 1 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 24 for Mystery Dungeon-only games and 17.7 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Mystery Dungeon alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 14 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $408.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Islandleads this pair34.6%
PairShiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island34.6%
Mystery DungeonENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition30.1%
RPGPath of Exile 218.0%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Mystery Dungeon + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island earned 34.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 77 Mystery Dungeon + RPG launches.
  • Mystery Dungeon is led by ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition, with 30.1% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 18.0% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Mystery Dungeon + RPG holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Mystery Dungeon + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view66 of 77 launchesWithout the breakout76 of 77 launchesLast 18 months19 of 77 launches
Launches counted773 hits663 hits762 hits190 hits
Earned $100k+3 of 77too few for a rate3 of 66too few for a rate2 of 76too few for a rate0 of 19too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$337top tenth $9,797+$383$337$383
Chance against standardthe base+16.7%0.6 more in 100; too few to tell-32.5%1.3 fewer in 100-100.0%3.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+13.6%$46 more; too few to tell0.0%no change+13.6%$46 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 77 launches.

Launches counted
773 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 77too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$337top tenth $9,797+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 77 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
663 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 66too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$383
Chance against standard
+16.7%0.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+13.6%$46 more; too few to tell
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (34.6% of the money): 76 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
762 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 76too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$337
Chance against standard
-32.5%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 77.

Launches counted
190 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 19too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$383
Chance against standard
-100.0%3.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+13.6%$46 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 77 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 77 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (34.6% of the money): 76 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 77.

Mystery Dungeon holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Mystery Dungeon through every lens, all prices
Mystery DungeonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view232 of 248 launchesWithout the breakout247 of 248 launchesLast 18 months61 of 248 launches
Launches counted2486 hits2326 hits2475 hits611 hits
Earned $100k+2.4 in 1001 in 412.6 in 1001 in 392.0 in 1001 in 491 of 61too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$282top tenth $8,354+$297$282$306
Chance against standardthe base+6.9%0.2 more in 100-16.3%0.4 fewer in 100-32.2%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+5.3%$15 more0.0%no change+8.5%$24 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery Dungeon, 12 to 36 months old: 248 launches.

Launches counted
2486 hits
Earned $100k+
2.4 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings
$282top tenth $8,354+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 248 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
2326 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 39
Typical first-year earnings
$297
Chance against standard
+6.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+5.3%$15 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition (30.1% of the money): 247 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2475 hits
Earned $100k+
2.0 in 1001 in 49
Typical first-year earnings
$282
Chance against standard
-16.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 248.

Launches counted
611 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 61too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$306
Chance against standard
-32.2%0.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+8.5%$24 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery Dungeon, 12 to 36 months old: 248 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 248 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition (30.1% of the money): 247 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 248.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launchesWithout the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launchesLast 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches
Launches counted3,715270 hits3,125225 hits3,714269 hits1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 148.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$675top tenth $51,629+$729$675$859
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.0%$54 more0.0%no change+27.3%$184 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.

Launches counted
3,715270 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675top tenth $51,629+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,125225 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$729
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+8.0%$54 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,714269 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

Launches counted
1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$859
Chance against standard
+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+27.3%$184 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Mystery Dungeon + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.