Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Nature / Incremental
Nature + Incremental: a typical launch earns $999 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 50 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 56% on the year before: 50 against 32.
- Price
- $999 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +37.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 50 32 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 76 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 202 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.45xhits against expected | 1.02x to 2.43x | 50 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #853 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 50
- Hit rate
- 6.0%0.0% to 13.3%
- Expected rate
- 2.3%
- Against expected
- 1.45x1.02x to 2.43x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
50 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $77
- Median
- $999
- Top tenth
- $30,291
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +56%
Parent tags
- NatureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- IncrementalGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Ropuka's Idle Island (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,062 reviews, 95% positiveest. $311k
- Click Mage (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,537 reviews, 91% positiveest. $256k
- Sludgineers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,742 reviews, 87% positiveest. $247k
- Bugtopia (opens the Steam store)2025 · 869 reviews, 92% positiveest. $105k
- PolyPine (opens the Steam store)2025 · 370 reviews, 95% positiveest. $67k
- The Greenening (opens the Steam store)2026 · 488 reviews, 96% positiveest. $49k
- Garbage Growth (opens the Steam store)2026 · 357 reviews, 91% positiveest. $36k
- Idle Waters (opens the Steam store)2025 · 349 reviews, 94% positiveest. $35k
More with Nature
pairs with Nature- Nature + Cozy$4,65132 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Nature + Idler$1,66633 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Nature$1,61878 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Nature$1,13283 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Nature$99986 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- Relaxing + Nature$818120 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
More with Incremental
pairs with Incremental- Resource Management + Incremental$1,36246 launches priced, 236 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Incremental$1,23332 launches priced, 126 releases in 12 months
- Collectathon + Incremental$1,13151 launches priced, 139 releases in 12 months
- Incremental + Creature Collector$91664 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Management + Incremental$81071 launches priced, 241 releases in 12 months
- Automation + Incremental$81041 launches priced, 244 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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