Niche

Open World + Strategy

Games tagged both Open World and Strategy: 54 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Open World + Strategy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Open World and is too small to compare with Strategy.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Open World + Strategy is too small to compare with Open World and is too small to compare with Strategy: 7 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 29.6 in 100 for Open World and 18.8 in 100 for Strategy.

Small sample: 19 launches, 7 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneOpen World

29.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds29.6 in 100

Typical earnings$25,972

Launches270 / 80 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairOpen World + Strategy

7 of 19launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds7 of 19 launches

$1k+18 of 19 launches

$10k+11 of 19 launches

Launches19 / 7 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoStrategy

18.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.8 in 100

Typical earnings$10,037

Launches845 / 159 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices54 in pair Under $517 in pair $5 to $1013 in pair $10 to $2019 in pair$20 to $405: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Open World and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 7 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 29.1 in 100 for Open World-only games and 18.4 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Open World alone and is too small to compare with Strategy alone.

Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 7 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 18 of 19 launches · $10k+ 11 of 19 launches · $100k+ 7 of 19 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Three Kingdoms Mushoudenleads this pair20.4%

PairThree Kingdoms Mushouden20.4%

Open WorldPalworld30.4%

StrategyManor Lords15.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Open World + Strategy

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Three Kingdoms Mushouden earned 20.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 54 Open World + Strategy launches.
Open World is led by Palworld, with 30.4% of its money.
Strategy is led by Manor Lords, with 15.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Open World + Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Open World + Strategy through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view50 of 54 launches	Without the breakout53 of 54 launches	Last 18 months21 of 54 launches
Launches counted	5412 hits	5010 hits	5311 hits	217 hits
Earned $100k+	22.2 in 100	20.0 in 100	20.8 in 100	7 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-10.0%2.2 fewer in 100	-6.6%1.5 fewer in 100	+50.0%11.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Open World and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.

Launches counted: 5412 hits
Earned $100k+: 22.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5010 hits
Earned $100k+: 20.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -10.0%2.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Three Kingdoms Mushouden (20.4% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5311 hits
Earned $100k+: 20.8 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -6.6%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 54.

Launches counted: 217 hits
Earned $100k+: 7 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +50.0%11.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Open World and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Three Kingdoms Mushouden (20.4% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 54.

Open World holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Open World through every lens, all prices
Open World	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view820 of 862 launches	Without the breakout861 of 862 launches	Last 18 months222 of 862 launches
Launches counted	862162 hits	820155 hits	861161 hits	22241 hits
Earned $100k+	18.8 in 100	18.9 in 100	18.7 in 100	18.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,048top tenth $475,199+	$2,107	$2,044	$2,528
Chance against standard	the base	+0.6%0.1 more in 100	-0.5%0.1 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.9%$59 more	-0.2%$4 less	+23.4%$480 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 862 launches.

Launches counted: 862162 hits
Earned $100k+: 18.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,048top tenth $475,199+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 862 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 820155 hits
Earned $100k+: 18.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,107
Chance against standard: +0.6%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.9%$59 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (30.4% of the money): 861 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 861161 hits
Earned $100k+: 18.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,044
Chance against standard: -0.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.2%$4 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 222 of 862.

Launches counted: 22241 hits
Earned $100k+: 18.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,528
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +23.4%$480 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 862 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 862 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (30.4% of the money): 861 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 222 of 862.

Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Strategy through every lens, all prices
Strategy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,307 of 4,688 launches	Without the breakout4,687 of 4,688 launches	Last 18 months1,459 of 4,688 launches
Launches counted	4,688325 hits	4,307297 hits	4,687324 hits	1,459107 hits
Earned $100k+	6.9 in 1001 in 14	6.9 in 1001 in 15	6.9 in 1001 in 14	7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$439top tenth $49,022+	$496	$439	$521
Chance against standard	the base	-0.5%no change	-0.3%no change	+5.8%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+13.0%$57 more	0.0%no change	+18.7%$82 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.

Launches counted: 4,688325 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $439top tenth $49,022+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,307297 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $496
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +13.0%$57 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,687324 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $439
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.

Launches counted: 1,459107 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $521
Chance against standard: +5.8%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +18.7%$82 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Open World + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.