Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Party Game + PvP
Party Game + PvP
Games tagged both Party Game and PvP: 126 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Party Game + PvP priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Party Game + PvP trails both its tags: 1 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.0 in 100 for Party Game and 15.5 in 100 for PvP.
Small sample: 13 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Party Game and PvP priced $10 to $20. 7.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.8 for Party Game-only games and 16.1 for PvP-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 7.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 13), typical first-year earnings $1,619.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Party Game + PvP is one-hit market: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view125 of 126 launches | Without the breakout125 of 126 launches | Last 18 months89 of 126 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1263 hits | 1253 hits | 1252 hits | 892 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $607top tenth $13,352+ | $607 | $607 | $607 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -33.3%0.8 fewer in 100 | -8.3%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Party Game and PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 126 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Youtubers Life 3 (20.2% of the money): 125 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 89 of 126.
Party Game holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Party Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view258 of 263 launches | Without the breakout262 of 263 launches | Last 18 months187 of 263 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 26310 hits | 25810 hits | 2629 hits | 1876 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $647top tenth $17,474+ | $647 | $647 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.6%0.1 more in 100 | -10.5%0.4 fewer in 100 | -15.8%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.3%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Party Game, 6 to 30 months old: 263 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 263 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Voyagers of Nera (25.7% of the money): 262 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 187 of 263.
PvP holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| PvP | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,141 of 1,166 launches | Without the breakout1,165 of 1,166 launches | Last 18 months648 of 1,166 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,16674 hits | 1,14172 hits | 1,16573 hits | 64837 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $33,177+ | $526 | $526 | $604 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%$15 less | -2.8%$15 less | +11.6%$63 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Party Game + PvP moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.