Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Physics / Action-Adventure
Physics + Action-Adventure: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 54 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 98 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 31% on the year before: 81 against 62.
- Price
- $405 median of 54 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +33.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 81 62 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 203 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 472 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.20%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.30% | 22 ranked of 203 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,062 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.16xhits against expected | 0.80x to 1.76x | 98 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,924 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +9%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −16% to +39% | 19 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,131 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +5%review growth against same-age games | −3% to +11% | 19 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #571 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 98
- Hit rate
- 8.2%4.3% to 13.2%
- Expected rate
- 6.6%
- Against expected
- 1.16x0.80x to 1.76x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
98 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $535
- Top tenth
- $34,833
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +31%
- Against Steam
- −4%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- PhysicsNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Action-AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Goat Simulator 3 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,856 reviews, 97% positiveest. $7.7M
- UNDERDOGS (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,807 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.7M
- The Bloodline (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,787 reviews, 82% positiveest. $1.5M
- Cloudheim (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,825 reviews, 81% positiveest. $1.1M
- Eternal Strands (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,671 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1M
- Funnel Runners (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,025 reviews, 82% positiveest. $918k
- Arken Age (opens the Steam store)2025 · 676 reviews, 90% positiveest. $547k
- Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,510 reviews, 85% positiveest. $545k
More with Physics
pairs with Physics- Building + Physics$2,16430 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Physics$2,06074 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Multiplayer + Physics$1,72852 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Comedy + Physics$1,61742 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Physics$1,24262 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Physics$1,11244 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
More with Action-Adventure
pairs with Action-Adventure- Action-Adventure + VR$6,75746 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Action-Adventure$4,36354 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + Action-Adventure$4,12753 launches priced, 80 releases in 12 months
- Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy$3,09649 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Action-Adventure$2,86390 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- Action-Adventure + Gore$2,02430 launches priced, 18 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.