Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Psychological Horror + Realistic
Psychological Horror + Realistic
Games tagged both Psychological Horror and Realistic: 344 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Psychological Horror + Realistic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Psychological Horror and trails Realistic; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Psychological Horror and is too small to compare with Realistic.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Psychological Horror + Realistic is too small to compare with Psychological Horror and is too small to compare with Realistic: 3 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 26.2 in 100 for Psychological Horror and 21.2 in 100 for Realistic.
Small sample: 19 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Psychological Horror and Realistic priced $10 to $20. 3 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 27.2 in 100 for Psychological Horror-only games and 21.6 in 100 for Realistic-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Psychological Horror alone and is too small to compare with Realistic alone.
Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 19 launches · $10k+ 11 of 19 launches · $100k+ 3 of 19 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Psychological Horror + Realistic holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view332 of 344 launches | Without the breakout343 of 344 launches | Last 18 months104 of 344 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 34410 hits | 33210 hits | 3439 hits | 1044 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 4 of 104too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,767top tenth $23,234+ | $1,767 | $1,767 | $1,800 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.6%0.1 more in 100 | -9.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | +32.3%0.9 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +1.9%$33 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Psychological Horror and Realistic, 12 to 36 months old: 344 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 344 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POOLS (16.7% of the money): 343 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 104 of 344.
Psychological Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Psychological Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,088 of 2,195 launches | Without the breakout2,194 of 2,195 launches | Last 18 months635 of 2,195 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,195127 hits | 2,088120 hits | 2,194126 hits | 63530 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 17 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,200top tenth $33,982+ | $1,234 | $1,200 | $1,176 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.7%no change | -0.7%no change | -18.3%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.8%$34 more | 0.0%no change | -2.0%$24 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 2,195 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 107 of 2,195 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (9.5% of the money): 2,194 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 635 of 2,195.
Realistic holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Realistic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,488 of 1,520 launches | Without the breakout1,519 of 1,520 launches | Last 18 months431 of 1,520 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,520112 hits | 1,488112 hits | 1,519111 hits | 43134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $975top tenth $57,388+ | $981 | $975 | $1,029 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.2%0.2 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +7.1%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.6%$6 more | 0.0%no change | +5.5%$54 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Realistic, 12 to 36 months old: 1,520 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,520 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (25.2% of the money): 1,519 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 431 of 1,520.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Psychological Horror + Realistic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
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