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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / PvE + RPG

Niche

PvE + RPG

Games tagged both PvE and RPG: 227 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing PvE + RPG priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

PvE + RPG trails both its tags: 2.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.4 in 100 for PvE and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.

That is 1 in 37, about 0.1 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tagPvE
12.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.4 in 100
Typical earnings$5,160
Launches241 / 30 hits
Pair trails by9.7 in 100
3RDThird
This pairPvE + RPG
2.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 37
Typical earnings$4,998
Launches37 / 1 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoRPG
18.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,017
Launches881 / 163 hits
Pair trails by15.8 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20PvE is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 37 games tagged both PvE and RPG priced $10 to $20. 2.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 for PvE-only games and 19.2 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 37 games priced $10 to $20; 2.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 37), typical first-year earnings $4,998.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 37 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Witchfireleads this pair28.2%
PairWitchfire28.2%
PvEGray Zone Warfare26.0%
RPGPath of Exile 216.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads PvE + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Witchfire earned 28.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 227 PvE + RPG launches.
  • PvE is led by Gray Zone Warfare, with 26.0% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

PvE + RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

PvE + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view224 of 227 launchesWithout the breakout226 of 227 launchesLast 18 months141 of 227 launches
Launches counted22711 hits22410 hits22610 hits1417 hits
Earned $100k+4.8 in 1001 in 214.5 in 1001 in 224.4 in 1001 in 235.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings$404top tenth $25,501+$405$404$405
Chance against standardthe yardstick-6.3%0.3 fewer in 100-8.3%0.4 fewer in 100+4.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+0.2%$1 more0.0%no change+0.2%$1 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both PvE and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 227 launches.

Launches counted
22711 hits
Earned $100k+
4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings
$404top tenth $25,501+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 227 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
22410 hits
Earned $100k+
4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
-6.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+0.2%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (28.2% of the money): 226 launches left.

Launches counted
22610 hits
Earned $100k+
4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
-8.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 141 of 227.

Launches counted
1417 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
+4.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.2%$1 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvE and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 227 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 227 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (28.2% of the money): 226 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 141 of 227.

PvE holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

PvE through every lens, all prices
PvEBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,506 of 1,523 launchesWithout the breakout1,522 of 1,523 launchesLast 18 months875 of 1,523 launches
Launches counted1,52386 hits1,50683 hits1,52285 hits87551 hits
Earned $100k+5.6 in 1001 in 185.5 in 1001 in 185.6 in 1001 in 185.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings$404top tenth $27,714+$405$404$404
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.8%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change+3.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+0.2%$1 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged PvE, 6 to 30 months old: 1,523 launches.

Launches counted
1,52386 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$404top tenth $27,714+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 1,523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,50683 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+0.2%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (26.0% of the money): 1,522 launches left.

Launches counted
1,52285 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 875 of 1,523.

Launches counted
87551 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
+3.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged PvE, 6 to 30 months old: 1,523 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 1,523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (26.0% of the money): 1,522 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 875 of 1,523.

RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launchesWithout the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launchesLast 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches
Launches counted4,151319 hits3,513268 hits4,150318 hits2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+7.7 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.7 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$708top tenth $62,744+$728$708$607
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.3%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.8%$20 more0.0%no change-14.3%$101 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.

Launches counted
4,151319 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708top tenth $62,744+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,513268 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.

Launches counted
4,150318 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

Launches counted
2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$607
Chance against standard
-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$101 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when PvE + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.