Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / PvP + Third Person
PvP + Third Person
Games tagged both PvP and Third Person: 108 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing PvP + Third Person priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it trails PvP and is level with Third Person.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
PvP + Third Person trails PvP and is level with Third Person: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.5 in 100 for PvP and 0.1 in 100 for Third Person.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 53 games tagged both PvP and Third Person priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.6 for PvP-only games and 0.1 for Third Person-only games, so the mix trails PvP alone and is level with Third Person alone.
Both: 53 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $101.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 53 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
PvP + Third Person is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view106 of 108 launches | Without the breakout107 of 108 launches | Last 18 months63 of 108 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1083 hits | 1063 hits | 1072 hits | 631 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $12,251+ | $405 | $404 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -32.1%0.9 fewer in 100 | -42.9%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 108 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 108 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gigantic: Rampage Edition (41.0% of the money): 107 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 63 of 108.
PvP holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| PvP | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,141 of 1,166 launches | Without the breakout1,165 of 1,166 launches | Last 18 months648 of 1,166 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,16674 hits | 1,14172 hits | 1,16573 hits | 64837 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $33,177+ | $526 | $526 | $604 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%$15 less | -2.8%$15 less | +11.6%$63 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.
Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Third Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,564 of 1,628 launches | Without the breakout1,627 of 1,628 launches | Last 18 months893 of 1,628 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,62893 hits | 1,56491 hits | 1,62792 hits | 89348 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $324top tenth $24,288+ | $364 | $324 | $304 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.8%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.3%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.3%$40 more | 0.0%no change | -6.2%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,628 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 1,628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.7% of the money): 1,627 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 893 of 1,628.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when PvP + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.