Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 2. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Racing + Retro
Games tagged both Racing and Retro: 48 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Racing + Retro priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Racing and is too small to compare with Retro.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Racing + Retro is too small to compare with Racing and is too small to compare with Retro: 0 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 422 launches for Racing and 1 of 758 launches for Retro.
Small sample: 25 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Racing and Retro priced under $5. 0 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 397 for Racing-only games and 1 of 733 for Retro-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Racing alone and is too small to compare with Retro alone.
Both: 25 games priced under $5; 0 of 25 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 5 of 25 launches · $10k+ 1 of 25 launches · $100k+ 0 of 25 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 2. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Racing + Retro holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view48 of 48 launches | Without the breakout47 of 48 launches | Last 18 monthstoo few |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 485 hits | 485 hits | 474 hits | too few |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.4 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 4 of 47too few for a rate | too few |
| Chance of $10k+ | 17 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 44 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Chance against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -18.3%1.9 fewer in 100 | too few |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Not run yet |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Racing and Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 48 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 48 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Old School Rally (27.2% of the money): 47 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Too few launches to run this lens.
Racing holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Racing | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view751 of 777 launches | Without the breakout776 of 777 launches | Last 18 months206 of 777 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 77739 hits | 75139 hits | 77638 hits | 20614 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $273top tenth $17,231+ | $312 | $273 | $327 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.5%0.2 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.4%1.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.3%$39 more | 0.0%no change | +19.8%$54 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Racing, 12 to 36 months old: 777 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 777 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (24.3% of the money): 776 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 206 of 777.
Retro holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Retro | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,310 of 1,343 launches | Without the breakout1,342 of 1,343 launches | Last 18 months386 of 1,343 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,34366 hits | 1,31065 hits | 1,34265 hits | 38620 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $599top tenth $26,477+ | $638 | $599 | $545 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.0%no change | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +5.4%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.5%$39 more | 0.0%no change | -9.0%$54 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,343 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,343 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (20.6% of the money): 1,342 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 386 of 1,343.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Racing + Retro moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.