Niche

Roguelite + Third Person

Games tagged both Roguelite and Third Person: 54 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Roguelite + Third Person priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Roguelite + Third Person is too small to compare with Roguelite and is too small to compare with Third Person: 0 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 25.7 in 100 for Roguelite and 14.5 in 100 for Third Person.

Small sample: 11 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneRoguelite

25.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds25.7 in 100

Typical earnings$18,216

Launches381 / 98 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairRoguelite + Third Person

0 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 11 launches

Typical earnings$11,394

Launches11 / 0 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIETied

Tag twomood tagThird Person

14.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.5 in 100

Typical earnings$4,543

Launches242 / 35 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Third Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices54 in pair Under $529 in pair $5 to $1014 in pair $10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Roguelite and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 0 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 26.5 in 100 for Roguelite-only games and 15.2 in 100 for Third Person-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Roguelite alone and is too small to compare with Third Person alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 11 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $11,394.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Warden's Willleads this pair22.7%

PairWarden's Will22.7%

RogueliteHades II14.1%

Third PersonThe Forever Winter14.7%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Roguelite + Third Person

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Warden's Will earned 22.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 54 Roguelite + Third Person launches.
Roguelite is led by Hades II, with 14.1% of its money.
Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 14.7% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Roguelite + Third Person holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelite + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view52 of 54 launches	Without the breakout53 of 54 launches	Last 18 months21 of 54 launches
Launches counted	540 hits	520 hits	530 hits	210 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 54too few for a rate	0 of 52too few for a rate	0 of 53too few for a rate	0 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$235top tenth $18,891+	$235	$235	$115
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	-51.1%$120 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelite and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.

Launches counted: 540 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 54too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $235top tenth $18,891+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 520 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 52too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $235
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Warden's Will (22.7% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 530 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 53too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $235
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 54.

Launches counted: 210 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $115
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -51.1%$120 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelite and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 54 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 54 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Warden's Will (22.7% of the money): 53 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 54.

Roguelite holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelite through every lens, all prices
Roguelite	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,875 of 2,011 launches	Without the breakout2,010 of 2,011 launches	Last 18 months615 of 2,011 launches
Launches counted	2,011170 hits	1,875158 hits	2,010169 hits	61552 hits
Earned $100k+	8.5 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12	8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$1,113top tenth $72,554+	$1,190	$1,113	$1,072
Chance against standard	the base	-0.3%no change	-0.5%no change	0.0%no change
Typical against standard	the base	+6.9%$77 more	0.0%no change	-3.7%$41 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,011 launches.

Launches counted: 2,011170 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,113top tenth $72,554+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,011 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,875158 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,190
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: +6.9%$77 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.1% of the money): 2,010 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,010169 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,113
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 615 of 2,011.

Launches counted: 61552 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,072
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -3.7%$41 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,011 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,011 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.1% of the money): 2,010 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 615 of 2,011.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third Person	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,434 of 1,486 launches	Without the breakout1,485 of 1,486 launches	Last 18 months425 of 1,486 launches
Launches counted	1,48676 hits	1,43475 hits	1,48575 hits	42523 hits
Earned $100k+	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.2 in 1001 in 19	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$287top tenth $20,660+	$304	$287	$287
Chance against standard	the base	+2.3%0.1 more in 100	-1.2%0.1 fewer in 100	+5.8%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.9%$17 more	0.0%no change	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,486 launches.

Launches counted: 1,48676 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $287top tenth $20,660+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,486 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,43475 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $304
Chance against standard: +2.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +5.9%$17 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.7% of the money): 1,485 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,48575 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,486.

Launches counted: 42523 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: +5.8%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,486 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,486 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.7% of the money): 1,485 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,486.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Roguelite + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.