Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
RPG + Loot: a typical launch earns $1,213 in its first year
That is the median of 55 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 19 of 112 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 96% on the year before: 135 against 69.
- Price
- $1,213 median of 55 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +3.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 135 69 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 316 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 732 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.14%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.19% | 22 ranked of 316 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,406 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 2.02xhits against expected | 1.50x to 2.70x | 112 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #144 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −31%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −49% to −11% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,169 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −5%review growth against same-age games | −19% to +18% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,279 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 112
- Hit rate
- 16.2%11.4% to 28.8%
- Expected rate
- 7.0%
- Against expected
- 2.02x1.50x to 2.70x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
111 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $77
- Median
- $1,718
- Top tenth
- $203,599
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +96%
- Against Steam
- +38%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Path of Exile 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 168,204 reviews, 76% positiveest. $102M
- Fellowship (opens the Steam store)2025 · 15,377 reviews, 74% positiveest. $7.6M
- Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition (opens the Steam store)2026 · 6,025 reviews, 86% positiveest. $4.9M
- SpiritVale (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,885 reviews, 48% positiveest. $1.4M
- Dragonkin: The Banished (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,252 reviews, 72% positiveest. $1.1M
- Erenshor (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,161 reviews, 94% positiveest. $875k
- Megaloot (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,810 reviews, 71% positiveest. $771k
- Meta Ghost: Breaking Show (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,497 reviews, 72% positiveest. $545k
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Loot
pairs with Loot- Action RPG + Loot$5,00732 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Loot$1,21339 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Loot$1,00233 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Action + Loot$98134 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Loot$76336 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Loot + Idlerno price100 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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