Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sandbox + Cute: a typical launch earns $809 in its first year
That is the median of 81 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 21 of 168 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 49% on the year before: 140 against 94.
- Price
- $809 median of 81 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −78.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 140 94 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 367 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 811 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.58%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.26% to 1.09% | 48 ranked of 367 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,463 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.62xhits against expected | 1.21x to 2.16x | 168 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #524 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −14%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −30% to +5% | 38 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,841 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −8%review growth against same-age games | −20% to +2% | 38 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,201 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 168
- Hit rate
- 12.5%8.5% to 18.4%
- Expected rate
- 7.0%
- Against expected
- 1.62x1.21x to 2.16x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
168 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $20
- Median
- $1,707
- Top tenth
- $170,462
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +49%
- Against Steam
- +6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Tiny Glade (opens the Steam store)2024 · 22,804 reviews, 97% positiveest. $6.7M
- Little Kitty, Big City (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,445 reviews, 96% positiveest. $5M
- Town to City (opens the Steam store)2025 · 6,214 reviews, 97% positiveest. $3.7M
- Farm Together 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,484 reviews, 93% positiveest. $2.2M
- Hozy (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,256 reviews, 80% positiveest. $1.2M
- gogh: Focus with Your Avatar (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,832 reviews, 91% positiveest. $974k
- Critter Cove (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,739 reviews, 94% positiveest. $880k
- Yaoling: Mythical Journey (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,854 reviews, 90% positiveest. $779k
More with Sandbox
pairs with Sandbox- Sandbox + Multiplayer$32,53338 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Resource Management$18,39749 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Economy$15,26966 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Management$11,910116 launches priced, 204 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + City Builder$11,53977 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Colony Sim$10,01834 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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