Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Crime: 73 releases in the last 12 months

There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 18 of 60 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 161% on the year before: 73 against 28.

Price: n/a
Price vs a year earlier: n/a
Releases, 12 months: 73
Upcoming games: 196
Games on the store: 391

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Crime on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.32%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.17% to 0.54%	29 ranked of 196 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#728 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	2.09xhits against expected	1.57x to 2.71x	60 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#121 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−45%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−64% to −22%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,300 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−4%review growth against same-age games	−16% to +6%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#973 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 18
Expected: 7.1

Launches: 60
Hit rate: 30.0%21.9% to 36.5%
Expected rate: 11.8%
Against expected: 2.09x1.57x to 2.71x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

60 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $140
Median: $3,538
Top tenth: $670,208

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 73
Prior 12 months: 28

Change: +161%
Against Steam: +75%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
CrimeNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Crime

pairs with Crime

Adventure + Crime$2,89333 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Detective + Crimeno price58 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Crimeno price52 releases in 12 months
Casual + Crimeno price51 releases in 12 months
Action + Crimeno price45 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Crimeno price45 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Crime

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.