Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Simulation / Medieval
Simulation + Medieval: a typical launch earns $4,855 in its first year
That is the median of 59 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 20 of 112 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 63% on the year before: 109 against 67.
- Price
- $4,855 median of 59 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +158.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 109 67 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 320 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 698 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.37%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.42% to 3.18% | 47 ranked of 320 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,176 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.41xhits against expected | 1.05x to 1.86x | 112 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #977 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −22%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −43% to 0% | 22 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,026 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −9%review growth against same-age games | −21% to +2% | 22 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,406 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 112
- Hit rate
- 17.9%13.4% to 28.4%
- Expected rate
- 11.9%
- Against expected
- 1.41x1.05x to 1.86x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
112 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $43
- Median
- $3,387
- Top tenth
- $218,043
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +63%
- Against Steam
- +17%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- MedievalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Half Sword (opens the Steam store)2026 · 29,092 reviews, 72% positiveest. $15M
- Bellwright (opens the Steam store)2024 · 20,215 reviews, 80% positiveest. $12M
- Blacksmith Master (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,538 reviews, 83% positiveest. $1M
- Dungeon Settlers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,337 reviews, 79% positiveest. $677k
- Naheulbeuk's Dungeon Master (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,303 reviews, 73% positiveest. $659k
- Blackthorn Arena: Reforged (opens the Steam store)2024 · 883 reviews, 66% positiveest. $447k
- Ale Abbey - Monastery Brewery Tycoon (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,286 reviews, 88% positiveest. $390k
- Noble Legacy (opens the Steam store)2025 · 747 reviews, 70% positiveest. $378k
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
More with Medieval
pairs with Medieval- Medieval + Management$4,85539 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Base Building$3,94532 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + City Builder$3,71240 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Dark Fantasy$1,63830 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Building + Medieval$1,49734 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Medieval$849125 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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