Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Space + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $101 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 79 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 76% on the year before: 72 against 41.
- Price
- $101 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −50.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 72 41 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 131 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 422 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.38xhits against expected | 0.94x to 2.21x | 79 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,044 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 79
- Hit rate
- 6.3%1.1% to 9.6%
- Expected rate
- 3.5%
- Against expected
- 1.38x0.94x to 2.21x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
79 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $162
- Top tenth
- $10,599
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +76%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Astronomics (opens the Steam store)2025 · 710 reviews, 89% positiveest. $287k
- Space Rock Breaker (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,723 reviews, 96% positiveest. $279k
- Endoparasitic 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 636 reviews, 86% positiveest. $154k
- Enter the Chronosphere (opens the Steam store)2026 · 429 reviews, 94% positiveest. $130k
- Eventide Matter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 929 reviews, 95% positiveest. $113k
- Vanguard Galaxy (opens the Steam store)2025 · 577 reviews, 90% positiveest. $105k
- Desperate Place (opens the Steam store)2025 · 252 reviews, 66% positiveest. $56k
- PERIMETER: Legate Edition (opens the Steam store)2024 · 144 reviews, 92% positiveest. $29k
More with Space
pairs with Space- Space + Exploration$2,02365 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- Space + PvE$80933 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Space$70876 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Space$55452 launches priced, 154 releases in 12 months
- Space + Roguelite$45431 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Space + Space Sim$40446 launches priced, 106 releases in 12 months
More with Top-Down
pairs with Top-Down- Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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