Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Story Rich + Visual Novel
Story Rich + Visual Novel
Games tagged both Story Rich and Visual Novel: 706 indie paid launches, 72 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Story Rich + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Story Rich + Visual Novel is about level with Story Rich and beats Visual Novel: 19.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.3 in 100 for Story Rich and 14.1 in 100 for Visual Novel.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 183 games tagged both Story Rich and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 19.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.1 in 100 for Story Rich-only games and 10.4 in 100 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix is about level with Story Rich alone and beats Visual Novel alone.
Both: 183 games priced $10 to $20; 19.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $17,435.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 183 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Story Rich + Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view611 of 706 launches | Without the breakout705 of 706 launches | Last 18 months194 of 706 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 70672 hits | 61153 hits | 70571 hits | 19418 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.2 in 100 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 | 10.1 in 100 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,808top tenth $106,335+ | $2,363 | $2,806 | $2,817 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -14.9%1.5 fewer in 100 | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -15.8%$445 less | -0.1%$2 less | +0.3%$9 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Story Rich and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 706 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 706 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (10.6% of the money): 705 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 706.
Story Rich is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Story Rich | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,304 of 2,537 launches | Without the breakout2,536 of 2,537 launches | Last 18 months747 of 2,537 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,537298 hits | 2,304256 hits | 2,536297 hits | 74784 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.7 in 100 | 11.1 in 100 | 11.7 in 100 | 11.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,080top tenth $130,829+ | $2,080 | $2,080 | $2,340 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.4%0.6 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | -4.3%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +12.5%$260 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Story Rich, 12 to 36 months old: 2,537 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 233 of 2,537 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (15.6% of the money): 2,536 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 747 of 2,537.
Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Visual Novel | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,671 of 1,901 launches | Without the breakout1,900 of 1,901 launches | Last 18 months533 of 1,901 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,901128 hits | 1,67198 hits | 1,900127 hits | 53335 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,453top tenth $60,301+ | $1,414 | $1,453 | $1,308 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -12.9%0.9 fewer in 100 | -0.7%no change | -2.5%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -2.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -10.0%$145 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,901 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 230 of 1,901 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (6.6% of the money): 1,900 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 533 of 1,901.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Story Rich + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.