Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Abstract: a typical launch earns $810 in its first year
That is the median of 41 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 74 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 56 against 44.
- Price
- $810 median of 41 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +236.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 56 44 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 118 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 396 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.67xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.22x | 74 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,911 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 74
- Hit rate
- 1.4%0.0% to 7.1%
- Expected rate
- 4.0%
- Against expected
- 0.67x0.54x to 1.22x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
74 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $364
- Top tenth
- $8,178
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +27%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Trainatic (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,092 reviews, 89% positiveest. $132k
- U.V.S. Nirmana (opens the Steam store)2026 · 219 reviews, 88% positiveest. $66k
- Cascadia (opens the Steam store)2024 · 211 reviews, 98% positiveest. $64k
- Max Manos (opens the Steam store)2025 · 510 reviews, 92% positiveest. $62k
- Dice People (opens the Steam store)2025 · 726 reviews, 90% positiveest. $44k
- Orbi Universo II (opens the Steam store)2025 · 86 reviews, 75% positiveest. $44k
- Polimines 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 160 reviews, 86% positiveest. $32k
- Spooky Express (opens the Steam store)2025 · 81 reviews, 98% positiveest. $25k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Abstract
pairs with Abstract- Surreal + Abstract$1,41531 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Abstract$1,21351 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Abstract$90945 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Abstract$76972 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Abstract$73540 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Abstract$72839 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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