Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Sports: a typical launch earns $2,428 in its first year
That is the median of 99 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 168 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 18.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 17% on the year before: 158 against 135.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $2,428 median of 99 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −14.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 158 135 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 289 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,193 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.24%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.44% | 16 ranked of 289 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,903 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.38xhits against expected | 0.26x to 0.62x | 168 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,764 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 168
- Hit rate
- 3.0%0.5% to 9.8%
- Expected rate
- 10.8%
- Against expected
- 0.38x0.26x to 0.62x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
168 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $2,396
- Top tenth
- $41,984
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +17%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager (opens the Steam store)2026 · 383 reviews, 90% positiveest. $194k
- Tour de France 2025 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 182 reviews, 77% positiveest. $147k
- GT Manager (opens the Steam store)2024 · 237 reviews, 71% positiveest. $120k
- Master of Chess (opens the Steam store)2024 · 292 reviews, 83% positiveest. $118k
- Horse Racing Manager (opens the Steam store)2025 · 217 reviews, 88% positiveest. $110k
- Front Office Football Nine (opens the Steam store)2023 · 166 reviews, 79% positiveest. $101k
- Tour de France 2024 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 114 reviews, 85% positiveest. $92k
- Pro Basketball Manager 2025 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 169 reviews, 68% positiveest. $86k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Sports
pairs with Sports- Sports + Management$5,80333 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Driving$1,82042 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Sports$1,819193 launches priced, 336 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Realistic$1,80150 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Sports$1,79496 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Cute$1,73349 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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