Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Surreal / Action-Adventure
Surreal + Action-Adventure: a typical launch earns $1,092 in its first year
That is the median of 31 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 69 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 8% on the year before: 41 against 38.
- Price
- $1,092 median of 31 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −18.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 41 38 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 149 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 338 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.15% | 18 ranked of 149 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,747 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.61xhits against expected | 0.49x to 1.11x | 69 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,227 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 69
- Hit rate
- 1.4%0.0% to 7.8%
- Expected rate
- 5.2%
- Against expected
- 0.61x0.49x to 1.11x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
69 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $18
- Median
- $1,315
- Top tenth
- $17,579
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +8%
Parent tags
- SurrealNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Action-AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Arzette: The Jewel of Faramore (opens the Steam store)2024 · 894 reviews, 96% positiveest. $362k
- Cavern of Dreams (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,195 reviews, 94% positiveest. $314k
- RUBATO (opens the Steam store)2026 · 448 reviews, 97% positiveest. $181k
- CAPTURED (opens the Steam store)2024 · 633 reviews, 95% positiveest. $83k
- 除邪(CHUXIE) (opens the Steam store)2024 · 918 reviews, 80% positiveest. $71k
- Nientum - Op.ZERO (opens the Steam store)2025 · 160 reviews, 98% positiveest. $65k
- BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER BEFORE 4: DEMONS FROM THE PORTAL TO HELL I OPENED ARE STILL IN THE FAVELA AND NOW I HAVE TO SAVE MAMADAS FROM RONALDO (opens the Steam store)2026 · 598 reviews, 98% positiveest. $60k
- Moonlight Pulse (opens the Steam store)2024 · 201 reviews, 92% positiveest. $49k
More with Surreal
pairs with Surreal- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Story Rich$3,23865 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Psychological Horror$2,906127 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Exploration$2,424100 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Walking Simulator$1,81971 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Surreal$1,799122 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
More with Action-Adventure
pairs with Action-Adventure- Action-Adventure + VR$6,75746 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Action-Adventure$4,36354 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + Action-Adventure$4,12753 launches priced, 80 releases in 12 months
- Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy$3,09649 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Action-Adventure$2,86390 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- Action-Adventure + Gore$2,02430 launches priced, 18 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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