Niche

Survival + Top-Down

Games tagged both Survival and Top-Down: 85 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Survival + Top-Down priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Survival + Top-Down is too small to compare with Survival and is too small to compare with Top-Down: 0 of its 51 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0 of 489 launches for Survival and 2 of 1,102 launches for Top-Down.

Small sample: 51 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneSurvival

0 of 489launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 489 launches

Typical earnings$203

Launches489 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairSurvival + Top-Down

0 of 51launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 51 launches

$1k+12 in 100

$10k+0 of 51 launches

Launches51 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagTop-Down

2 of 1,102launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 1,102 launches

Typical earnings$97

Launches1,102 / 2 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Top-Down is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices85 in pair Under $551 in pair $5 to $1024 in pair$10 to $209: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 51 games tagged both Survival and Top-Down priced under $5. 0 of 51 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 438 for Survival-only games and 2 of 1,051 for Top-Down-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Survival alone and is too small to compare with Top-Down alone.

Both: 51 games priced under $5; 0 of 51 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 in 100 · $10k+ 0 of 51 launches · $100k+ 0 of 51 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 51 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

New Cycleleads this pair56.6%

PairNew Cycle56.6%

SurvivalPalworld36.7%

Top-DownDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor18.3%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Survival + Top-Down

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

New Cycle earned 56.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 85 Survival + Top-Down launches.
Survival is led by Palworld, with 36.7% of its money.
Top-Down is led by Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor, with 18.3% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Survival + Top-Down is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Survival + Top-Down through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view80 of 85 launches	Without the breakout84 of 85 launches	Last 18 months18 of 85 launches
Launches counted	853 hits	803 hits	842 hits	180 hits
Earned $100k+	3 of 85too few for a rate	3 of 80too few for a rate	2 of 84too few for a rate	0 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 36 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+6.3%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell	-32.5%1.1 fewer in 100	-100.0%3.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Survival and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.

Launches counted: 853 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 85too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 36 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 803 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 80too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +6.3%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, New Cycle (56.6% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 842 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 84too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -32.5%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 85.

Launches counted: 180 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%3.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Survival and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, New Cycle (56.6% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 85.

Survival holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Survival through every lens, all prices
Survival	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view991 of 1,033 launches	Without the breakout1,032 of 1,033 launches	Last 18 months283 of 1,033 launches
Launches counted	1,033105 hits	991101 hits	1,032104 hits	28325 hits
Earned $100k+	10.2 in 100	10.2 in 100	10.1 in 100	8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$1,081top tenth $103,143+	$1,116	$1,081	$1,087
Chance against standard	the base	+0.3%no change	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-13.1%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.2%$35 more	0.0%no change	+0.6%$6 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 1,033 launches.

Launches counted: 1,033105 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,081top tenth $103,143+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,033 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 991101 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,116
Chance against standard: +0.3%no change
Typical against standard: +3.2%$35 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.7% of the money): 1,032 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,032104 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,081
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 283 of 1,033.

Launches counted: 28325 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,087
Chance against standard: -13.1%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.6%$6 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Survival, 12 to 36 months old: 1,033 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,033 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.7% of the money): 1,032 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 283 of 1,033.

Top-Down is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Top-Down through every lens, all prices
Top-Down	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,803 of 1,885 launches	Without the breakout1,884 of 1,885 launches	Last 18 months496 of 1,885 launches
Launches counted	1,88559 hits	1,80352 hits	1,88458 hits	49615 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 32	2.9 in 1001 in 35	3.1 in 1001 in 32	3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings	$270top tenth $10,036+	$278	$270	$182
Chance against standard	the base	-7.9%0.2 fewer in 100	-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-3.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.0%$8 more	0.0%no change	-32.6%$88 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,885 launches.

Launches counted: 1,88559 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $270top tenth $10,036+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 82 of 1,885 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,80352 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $278
Chance against standard: -7.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.0%$8 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (18.3% of the money): 1,884 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,88458 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $270
Chance against standard: -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 496 of 1,885.

Launches counted: 49615 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $182
Chance against standard: -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -32.6%$88 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,885 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 82 of 1,885 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (18.3% of the money): 1,884 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 496 of 1,885.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Survival + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.