Third-Person Shooter + Action-Adventure: a typical launch earns $485 in its first year

That is the median of 79 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 151 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 12.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 11% on the year before: 108 against 97.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: $485
Price vs a year earlier: +4.5%
Releases, 12 months: 108
Upcoming games: 426
Games on the store: 960

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Third-Person Shooter + Action-Adventure on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.60%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.35% to 3.93%	51 ranked of 426 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,111 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	0.79xhits against expected	0.54x to 1.18x	151 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,193 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+42%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+14% to +74%	37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#279 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+16%review growth against same-age games	+6% to +29%	37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#93 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 9
Expected: 12.3

Launches: 151
Hit rate: 6.0%4.0% to 8.4%
Expected rate: 8.1%
Against expected: 0.79x0.54x to 1.18x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

151 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $405
Top tenth: $13,361

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 108
Prior 12 months: 97

Change: +11%
Against Steam: −18%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Third-Person ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Action-AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Third-Person Shooter

pairs with Third-Person Shooter

Adventure + Third-Person Shooter$57674 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
Third-Person Shooter + Exploration$55632 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
Action + Third-Person Shooter$313198 launches priced, 284 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Third-Person Shooter$303122 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Third-Person Shooter + 3D$303139 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Third-Person Shooter$283185 launches priced, 236 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Third-Person Shooter

More with Action-Adventure

pairs with Action-Adventure

Action-Adventure + VR$6,75746 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Action-Adventure$4,36354 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Online Co-Op + Action-Adventure$4,12753 launches priced, 80 releases in 12 months
Action-Adventure + Dark Fantasy$3,09649 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
Metroidvania + Action-Adventure$2,86390 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
Action-Adventure + Gore$2,02430 launches priced, 18 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Action-Adventure

Verdicts

in development

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