Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Thriller + 3D: a typical launch earns $727 in its first year
That is the median of 81 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 161 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 2% on the year before: 92 against 94.
- Price
- $727 median of 81 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −21.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 92 94 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 160 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 479 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.06% | 12 ranked of 160 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,814 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.51xhits against expected | 1.04x to 2.32x | 161 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #703 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +38%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +13% to +84% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #330 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| 0%review growth against same-age games | −8% to +11% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,978 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 161
- Hit rate
- 5.0%2.4% to 9.9%
- Expected rate
- 2.6%
- Against expected
- 1.51x1.04x to 2.32x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
161 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $61
- Median
- $707
- Top tenth
- $33,548
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −2%
- Against Steam
- −28%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- 1000xRESIST (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,342 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.2M
- Zoochosis (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,205 reviews, 60% positiveest. $1.1M
- Subliminal (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,556 reviews, 74% positiveest. $719k
- Incantation (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,113 reviews, 73% positiveest. $383k
- The Lightkeeper (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,092 reviews, 81% positiveest. $177k
- Junji Ito Maniac: An Infinite Gaol (opens the Steam store)2025 · 633 reviews, 78% positiveest. $154k
- Amanda the Adventurer 3 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 703 reviews, 87% positiveest. $142k
- Backroom Company (opens the Steam store)2024 · 656 reviews, 82% positiveest. $119k
More with Thriller
pairs with Thriller- Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Thriller$2,90675 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Thriller$2,003167 launches priced, 223 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Mystery$1,820107 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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