Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Thriller + Mystery: a typical launch earns $1,820 in its first year
That is the median of 107 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 192 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 6% on the year before: 122 against 115.
- Price
- $1,820 median of 107 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +20.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 122 115 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 291 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 726 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.26%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.49% | 18 ranked of 291 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,858 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.37xhits against expected | 0.98x to 1.94x | 192 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,087 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +34%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +7% to +61% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #419 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +5%review growth against same-age games | −5% to +13% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #605 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 192
- Hit rate
- 7.3%2.6% to 11.1%
- Expected rate
- 4.9%
- Against expected
- 1.37x0.98x to 1.94x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
192 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $112
- Median
- $1,183
- Top tenth
- $32,202
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +6%
- Against Steam
- −22%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Operator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,526 reviews, 91% positiveest. $2.2M
- The Drifter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,763 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.9M
- The Bridge Curse 2: The Extrication (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,522 reviews, 93% positiveest. $821k
- Subliminal (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,556 reviews, 74% positiveest. $719k
- Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest (opens the Steam store)2026 · 968 reviews, 89% positiveest. $490k
- Folie Fatale (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,612 reviews, 86% positiveest. $184k
- Dread Flats (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,465 reviews, 83% positiveest. $178k
- Lost Wiki: Kozlovka (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,670 reviews, 96% positiveest. $169k
More with Thriller
pairs with Thriller- Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Thriller$2,90675 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Thriller$2,003167 launches priced, 223 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Multiple Endings$1,82033 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
More with Mystery
pairs with Mystery- Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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