Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Thriller / Psychological
Thriller + Psychological: a typical launch earns $1,374 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 0 of 72 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 30% on the year before: 52 against 40.
- Price
- $1,374 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −31.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 52 40 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 112 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 282 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.15% | 8 ranked of 112 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #6,099 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.58xhits against expected | 0.58x to 1.09x | 72 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,318 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 72
- Hit rate
- 0.0%0.0% to 2.8%
- Expected rate
- 3.0%
- Against expected
- 0.58x0.58x to 1.09x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
72 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $125
- Median
- $1,091
- Top tenth
- $10,039
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +30%
Parent tags
- ThrillerNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- PsychologicalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- İblis3:Phenomena (opens the Steam store)2025 · 254 reviews, 56% positiveest. $67k
- Vlad Circus: Descend Into Madness (opens the Steam store)2023 · 137 reviews, 88% positiveest. $55k
- Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- (opens the Steam store)2025 · 362 reviews, 74% positiveest. $32k
- Decide 4 God (opens the Steam store)2025 · 49 reviews, 93% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- Box of Broken Nails (opens the Steam store)2025 · 193 reviews, 96% positiveest. $20k
- New Face On The Block (opens the Steam store)2026 · 133 reviews, 82% positiveest. $13k
- The Telephone (opens the Steam store)2023 · 44 reviews, 88% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- Bloody Ink (opens the Steam store)2024 · 63 reviews, 88% positiveest. $13k
More with Thriller
pairs with Thriller- Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Thriller$2,90675 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Thriller$2,003167 launches priced, 223 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Mystery$1,820107 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
More with Psychological
pairs with Psychological- Psychological + Walking Simulator$1,81661 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Psychological$1,78330 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Psychological$1,57670 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
- Psychological + Multiple Endings$1,45530 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Psychological$1,354130 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Psychological$1,333121 launches priced, 186 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.