Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter
Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter
Games tagged both Top-Down and Top-Down Shooter: 328 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter trails both its tags: 3 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.0 in 100 for Top-Down and 19.3 in 100 for Top-Down Shooter.
Small sample: 24 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Top-Down and Top-Down Shooter priced $10 to $20. 12.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 for Top-Down-only games and 21.9 for Top-Down Shooter-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 12.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,152.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view313 of 328 launches | Without the breakout327 of 328 launches | Last 18 months174 of 328 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3285 hits | 3135 hits | 3274 hits | 1744 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 2.3 in 1001 in 43 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $200top tenth $5,558+ | $202 | $182 | $121 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.7%0.1 more in 100 | -20.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | +53.3%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +1.0%$2 more | -9.0%$18 less | -39.5%$79 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Top-Down and Top-Down Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 328 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 328 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, BALL x PIT (84.9% of the money): 327 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 174 of 328.
Top-Down is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Top-Down | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,975 of 2,055 launches | Without the breakout2,054 of 2,055 launches | Last 18 months1,144 of 2,055 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,05561 hits | 1,97554 hits | 2,05460 hits | 1,14432 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $301top tenth $9,109+ | $303 | $301 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -10.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | -3.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -32.9%$99 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 6 to 30 months old: 2,055 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 2,055 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Shape of Dreams (16.8% of the money): 2,054 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,144 of 2,055.
Top-Down Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Top-Down Shooter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view868 of 911 launches | Without the breakout910 of 911 launches | Last 18 months478 of 911 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 91126 hits | 86824 hits | 91025 hits | 47814 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $243top tenth $10,679+ | $281 | $243 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +15.6%$38 more | 0.0%no change | -16.9%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 911 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 43 of 911 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Escape From Duckov (46.8% of the money): 910 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 478 of 911.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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