Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Top-Down Shooter / Bullet Heaven
Top-Down Shooter + Bullet Heaven: 72 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 5 of 35 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 300% on the year before: 72 against 18.
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 72 18 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 170 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 292 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.01%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.01% to 0.02% | 5 ranked of 171 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #7,142 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.68xhits against expected | 1.16x to 2.59x | 35 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #408 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 35
- Hit rate
- 14.3%7.1% to 30.8%
- Expected rate
- 5.0%
- Against expected
- 1.68x1.16x to 2.59x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
35 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $181
- Median
- $7,789
- Top tenth
- $182,730
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +300%
Parent tags
- Top-Down ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Bullet HeavenGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (opens the Steam store)2024 · 46,424 reviews, 86% positiveest. $12M
- Pathogenic (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,345 reviews, 92% positiveest. $829k
- R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,131 reviews, 76% positiveest. $802k
- KILL KNIGHT (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,816 reviews, 93% positiveest. $551k
- Arms of God (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,904 reviews, 88% positiveest. $443k
- Picayune Dreams (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,184 reviews, 98% positiveest. $423k
- Achilles: Survivor (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,461 reviews, 81% positiveest. $266k
- Vital Shell (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,774 reviews, 96% positiveest. $215k
More with Top-Down Shooter
pairs with Top-Down Shooter- Roguelite + Top-Down Shooter$1,010116 launches priced, 189 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Twin Stick Shooter$90973 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Bullet Hell$809179 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Action RPG + Top-Down Shooter$72833 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Action Roguelike$687150 launches priced, 242 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter$443111 launches priced, 155 releases in 12 months
More with Bullet Heaven
pairs with Bullet Heaven- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Bullet Hell + Bullet Heaven$14,81455 launches priced, 178 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Action Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$10,41754 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Bullet Heavenno price106 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.