Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Turn-Based / Turn-Based Strategy
Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy: a typical launch earns $5,791 in its first year
That is the median of 34 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 13 of 67 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 58% on the year before: 60 against 38.
- Price
- $5,791 median of 34 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −26.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 60 38 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 165 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 832 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.18%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.26% | 23 ranked of 165 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,141 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.37xhits against expected | 0.99x to 1.89x | 67 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,079 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −14%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −39% to +21% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,837 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −4%review growth against same-age games | −16% to +16% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #966 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 67
- Hit rate
- 19.4%9.8% to 31.5%
- Expected rate
- 12.9%
- Against expected
- 1.37x0.99x to 1.89x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
67 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $202
- Median
- $5,944
- Top tenth
- $352,054
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +58%
- Against Steam
- +12%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Turn-BasedNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- MENACE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 12,364 reviews, 90% positiveest. $9.8M
- Tactical Breach Wizards (opens the Steam store)2024 · 11,510 reviews, 97% positiveest. $4.6M
- Quasimorph (opens the Steam store)2023 · 7,257 reviews, 82% positiveest. $3.6M
- Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,103 reviews, 52% positiveest. $1.7M
- SteamWorld Heist II (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,214 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.3M
- dotAGE (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,560 reviews, 94% positiveest. $866k
- Rogue Waters (opens the Steam store)2024 · 975 reviews, 75% positiveest. $592k
- Warhounds (opens the Steam store)2026 · 802 reviews, 71% positiveest. $568k
More with Turn-Based
pairs with Turn-Based- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Tactics$5,85530 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Rogueliteno price47 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Deckbuildingno price47 releases in 12 months
More with Turn-Based Strategy
pairs with Turn-Based Strategy- Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy$2,49838 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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