Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Visual Novel / Investigation
Visual Novel + Investigation: a typical launch earns $4,885 in its first year
That is the median of 42 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 79 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 17% on the year before: 55 against 47.
- Price
- $4,885 median of 42 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +23.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 55 47 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 142 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 404 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.34%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.20% to 0.61% | 21 ranked of 142 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #675 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.96xhits against expected | 0.67x to 1.42x | 79 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,016 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +29%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −8% to +85% | 29 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #515 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +10%review growth against same-age games | +2% to +22% | 29 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #287 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 79
- Hit rate
- 11.4%6.3% to 23.6%
- Expected rate
- 12.0%
- Against expected
- 0.96x0.67x to 1.42x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
79 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $202
- Median
- $3,339
- Top tenth
- $140,789
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +17%
- Against Steam
- −15%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Visual NovelGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- InvestigationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- No Case Should Remain Unsolved (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,382 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.3M
- Agatha Christie - Murder on the Orient Express (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,089 reviews, 82% positiveest. $882k
- Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy (opens the Steam store)2025 · 526 reviews, 90% positiveest. $426k
- The Shell Part II: Purgatorio (opens the Steam store)2024 · 593 reviews, 95% positiveest. $300k
- The Shell Part III: Paradiso (opens the Steam store)2025 · 627 reviews, 96% positiveest. $254k
- Demons' Timeline (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,114 reviews, 97% positiveest. $248k
- Best Served Cold (opens the Steam store)2025 · 678 reviews, 87% positiveest. $247k
- FAKEBOOK (opens the Steam store)2024 · 746 reviews, 89% positiveest. $226k
More with Visual Novel
pairs with Visual Novel- Visual Novel + FMV$65,06531 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + LGBTQ+$6,05083 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Immersive Sim$4,55364 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Romance$3,639179 launches priced, 277 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + First-Person$3,50754 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
More with Investigation
pairs with Investigation- Story Rich + Investigation$8,90370 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Point & Click + Investigation$4,85753 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Investigation$3,96395 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Investigation$3,336112 launches priced, 171 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Investigation$2,89337 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Investigation$2,183117 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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