Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Visual Novel + Noir: 40 releases in the last 12 months

There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 5 of 37 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 48% on the year before: 40 against 27.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: n/a
Price vs a year earlier: n/a
Releases, 12 months: 40
Upcoming games: 87
Games on the store: 235

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Visual Novel + Noir on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.01% to 0.28%	6 ranked of 87 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#5,611 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.19xhits against expected	0.82x to 1.84x	37 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,957 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 5
Expected: 3.7

Launches: 37
Hit rate: 13.5%6.8% to 26.2%
Expected rate: 10.0%
Against expected: 1.19x0.82x to 1.84x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

37 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $182
Median: $1,618
Top tenth: $192,603

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 40
Prior 12 months: 27

Change: +48%

Parent tags

Visual NovelGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
NoirNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Visual Novel

pairs with Visual Novel

Visual Novel + FMV$65,06531 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + LGBTQ+$6,05083 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Investigation$4,88542 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Immersive Sim$4,55364 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Romance$3,639179 launches priced, 277 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Visual Novel

More with Noir

pairs with Noir

2D + Noirno price55 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Noirno price46 releases in 12 months
Casual + Noirno price43 releases in 12 months
Puzzle + Noirno price36 releases in 12 months
Detective + Noirno price35 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Noirno price33 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Noir

Verdicts

in development

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