Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
War + Shooter: a typical launch earns $1,162 in its first year
That is the median of 32 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 69 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 42 against 37.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $1,162 median of 32 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +208.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 42 37 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 150 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 515 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.14%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.17% to 2.95% | 19 ranked of 150 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,242 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.32xhits against expected | 0.90x to 2.01x | 69 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,286 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +22%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −17% to +66% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #707 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +1%review growth against same-age games | −18% to +19% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #784 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 69
- Hit rate
- 10.1%5.7% to 15.7%
- Expected rate
- 6.7%
- Against expected
- 1.32x0.90x to 2.01x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
69 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $405
- Top tenth
- $67,335
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +14%
- Against Steam
- −17%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- FPV Kamikaze Drone (opens the Steam store)2023 · 12,247 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.5M
- Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,365 reviews, 92% positiveest. $691k
- Trench Tales (opens the Steam store)2025 · 604 reviews, 69% positiveest. $306k
- CYGNI: All Guns Blazing (opens the Steam store)2024 · 447 reviews, 60% positiveest. $271k
- Zero Caliber 2 Remastered (opens the Steam store)2025 · 438 reviews, 79% positiveest. $222k
- Trench Lord: Eastern Front (opens the Steam store)2024 · 780 reviews, 83% positiveest. $189k
- Commando Collection (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,421 reviews, 95% positiveest. $144k
More with War
pairs with War- RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- War + Historical$4,39930 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + War$2,942102 launches priced, 126 releases in 12 months
More with Shooter
pairs with Shooter- Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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