Best niches
$10 to $20Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 1 Oct
Of 1,269 niches with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 581 beat the 19 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.581 of 1,269 niches beat the 19 in 100 base rate.581 beat the base rate.
Cohort median $606
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
1,269 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat | 19 in 100893 of 4,810 | $9,226 | $248,075 | 4,810 | |||
| 1 | Fantasy + Magicnone of 64 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $4,048 | $23,070 | 64 | none | Pin Fantasy + Magic |
| 2 | Fantasy + Hidden Objectnone of 53 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $810 | $3,238 | 53 | none | Pin Fantasy + Hidden Object |
| 3 | Casual + LGBTQ+none of 37 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $4,553 | $59,495 | 37 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Casual + LGBTQ+ |
| 4 | Puzzle + VRnone of 34 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $2,367 | $15,177 | 34 | Small | Pin Puzzle + VR |
| 5 | 3D Platformer + Arcadenone of 33 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $1,214 | $15,382 | 33 | Small | Pin 3D Platformer + Arcade |
| 6 | Casual + Linearnone of 33 launches earned $100k+ | 0 in 100no hits | $2,104 | $16,046 | 33 | Small | Pin Casual + Linear |
| 7 | Fantasy + Mystery1 in 51 earned $100k+, from 51 launches | 1 in 511 hit | $810 | $4,048 | 51 | 1-hit | Pin Fantasy + Mystery |
| 8 | Adventure + Text-Based1 in 48 earned $100k+, from 48 launches | 1 in 481 hit | $1,821 | $67,084 | 48 | SmallAudience | Pin Adventure + Text-Based |
| 9 | Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Based1 in 45 earned $100k+, from 45 launches | 1 in 451 hit | $1,376 | $26,708 | 45 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Based |
| 10 | 2D + Hidden Object1 in 41 earned $100k+, from 81 launches | 1 in 412 hits | $1,214 | $6,374 | 81 | none | Pin 2D + Hidden Object |
| 11 | PvE + Roguelike1 in 39 earned $100k+, from 39 launches | 1 in 391 hit | $6,070 | $71,549 | 39 | Small | Pin PvE + Roguelike |
| 12 | Sports + Strategy1 in 39 earned $100k+, from 39 launches | 1 in 391 hit | $4,858 | $64,049 | 39 | Small | Pin Sports + Strategy |
| 13 | Casual + Text-Based1 in 38 earned $100k+, from 38 launches | 1 in 381 hit | $2,671 | $31,806 | 38 | SmallAudience | Pin Casual + Text-Based |
| 14 | 2D + Family Friendly1 in 37 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 371 hit | $971 | $14,267 | 37 | Small | Pin 2D + Family Friendly |
| 15 | Adventure + Linear1 in 37 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 371 hit | $1,619 | $28,146 | 37 | Small | Pin Adventure + Linear |
| 16 | Cute + JRPG1 in 37 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 371 hit | $4,807 | $25,501 | 37 | SmallAudience | Pin Cute + JRPG |
| 17 | PvE + RPG1 in 37 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 371 hit | $4,998 | $40,885 | 37 | Small | Pin PvE + RPG |
| 18 | 2.5D + Puzzle1 in 35 earned $100k+, from 35 launches | 1 in 351 hit | $1,518 | $18,621 | 35 | SmallAudience | Pin 2.5D + Puzzle |
| 19 | Immersive Sim + VR1 in 35 earned $100k+, from 35 launches | 1 in 351 hit | $2,834 | $33,598 | 35 | Small | Pin Immersive Sim + VR |
| 20 | 2D + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 35 earned $100k+, from 69 launches | 1 in 352 hits | $3,116 | $48,802 | 69 | none | Pin 2D + Choose Your Own Adventure |
| 21 | Hidden Object + Point & Click1 in 34 earned $100k+, from 103 launches | 1 in 343 hits | $1,214 | $9,310 | 103 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Point & Click |
| 22 | Interactive Fiction + Text-Based1 in 33 earned $100k+, from 33 launches | 1 in 331 hit | $7,285 | $35,511 | 33 | Small | Pin Interactive Fiction + Text-Based |
| 23 | Cute + Interactive Fiction1 in 32 earned $100k+, from 32 launches | 1 in 321 hit | $7,366 | $50,231 | 32 | SmallAudience | Pin Cute + Interactive Fiction |
| 24 | Arcade + Casual1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 124 launches | 1 in 314 hits | $1,214 | $18,213 | 124 | none | Pin Arcade + Casual |
| 25 | 2.5D + Strategy1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 1 in 311 hit | $607 | $67,759 | 31 | Small | Pin 2.5D + Strategy |
| 26 | Adventure + Time Management1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 1 in 311 hit | $1,457 | $10,120 | 31 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Adventure + Time Management |
| 27 | Arcade + VR1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 1 in 311 hit | $2,185 | $16,029 | 31 | Small | Pin Arcade + VR |
| 28 | Casual + Top-Down1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 1 in 311 hit | $5,099 | $38,668 | 31 | Small | Pin Casual + Top-Down |
| 29 | Adventure + Hidden Object1 in 31 earned $100k+, from 123 launches | 1 in 314 hits | $1,214 | $26,261 | 123 | none | Pin Adventure + Hidden Object |
| 30 | Adventure + Arcade1 in 30 earned $100k+, from 60 launches | 1 in 302 hits | $1,518 | $30,658 | 60 | 1-hit | Pin Adventure + Arcade |
| 31 | Anime + Fantasy1 in 30 earned $100k+, from 60 launches | 1 in 302 hits | $5,642 | $59,495 | 60 | none | Pin Anime + Fantasy |
| 32 | 2D + Board Game1 in 30 earned $100k+, from 30 launches | 1 in 301 hit | $5,160 | $55,457 | 30 | SmallAudience | Pin 2D + Board Game |
| 33 | Adventure + VR1 in 30 earned $100k+, from 59 launches | 1 in 302 hits | $4,048 | $52,624 | 59 | 1-hitAudience | Pin Adventure + VR |
| 34 | Anime + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 27 earned $100k+, from 54 launches | 1 in 272 hits | $1,214 | $38,877 | 54 | none | Pin Anime + Choose Your Own Adventure |
| 35 | Fantasy + JRPG1 in 26 earned $100k+, from 51 launches | 1 in 262 hits | $4,735 | $31,169 | 51 | none | Pin Fantasy + JRPG |
| 36 | Casual + VR1 in 24 earned $100k+, from 48 launches | 1 in 242 hits | $2,834 | $34,196 | 48 | SmallAudience | Pin Casual + VR |
| 37 | Text-Based + Visual Novel1 in 24 earned $100k+, from 71 launches | 1 in 243 hits | $3,116 | $39,179 | 71 | Audience | Pin Text-Based + Visual Novel |
| 38 | Hidden Object + Story Rich1 in 23 earned $100k+, from 69 launches | 1 in 233 hits | $1,214 | $9,310 | 69 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Story Rich |
| 39 | Arcade + Strategy1 in 23 earned $100k+, from 46 launches | 1 in 232 hits | $911 | $64,049 | 46 | Small | Pin Arcade + Strategy |
| 40 | Adventure + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 129 launches | 1 in 226 hits | $3,643 | $73,673 | 129 | none | Pin Adventure + Choose Your Own Adventure |
| 41 | 2D + Linear1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 1 in 222 hits | $3,966 | $52,459 | 43 | SmallAudience | Pin 2D + Linear |
| 42 | 2D Platformer + Puzzle Platformer1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 1 in 222 hits | $9,472 | $65,025 | 43 | Small | Pin 2D Platformer + Puzzle Platformer |
| 43 | Arcade + Platformer1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 1 in 222 hits | $2,429 | $34,408 | 43 | Small | Pin Arcade + Platformer |
| 44 | Colorful + Fantasy1 in 22 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 1 in 222 hits | $2,430 | $16,192 | 43 | Small | Pin Colorful + Fantasy |
| 45 | Casual + Visual Novel1 in 21 earned $100k+, from 147 launches | 1 in 217 hits | $3,561 | $46,957 | 147 | none | Pin Casual + Visual Novel |
| 46 | Action + Family Friendly1 in 21 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 1 in 212 hits | $3,400 | $38,247 | 42 | Small | Pin Action + Family Friendly |
| 47 | Adventure + Party-Based RPG1 in 21 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 1 in 212 hits | $3,673 | $62,885 | 42 | SmallAudience | Pin Adventure + Party-Based RPG |
| 48 | Casual + Romance1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 61 launches | 1 in 203 hits | $6,072 | $46,957 | 61 | none | Pin Casual + Romance |
| 49 | Casual + Point & Click1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 141 launches | 1 in 207 hits | $1,619 | $33,997 | 141 | none | Pin Casual + Point & Click |
| 50 | Hidden Object + Puzzle1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 141 launches | 1 in 207 hits | $1,214 | $26,261 | 141 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Puzzle |
| 51 | Casual + Fantasy1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 120 launches | 1 in 206 hits | $1,214 | $28,533 | 120 | none | Pin Casual + Fantasy |
| 52 | Casual + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 60 launches | 1 in 203 hits | $1,315 | $28,533 | 60 | none | Pin Casual + Choose Your Own Adventure |
| 53 | 3D Platformer + Puzzle1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 40 launches | 1 in 202 hits | $2,671 | $62,295 | 40 | Small | Pin 3D Platformer + Puzzle |
| 54 | Local Multiplayer + Multiplayer1 in 20 earned $100k+, from 39 launches | 1 in 202 hits | $3,400 | $83,388 | 39 | Small | Pin Local Multiplayer + Multiplayer |
| 55 | Fantasy + Puzzle1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 95 launches | 1 in 195 hits | $1,052 | $40,979 | 95 | none | Pin Fantasy + Puzzle |
| 56 | 3D + Fantasy1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 57 launches | 1 in 193 hits | $4,735 | $65,313 | 57 | none | Pin 3D + Fantasy |
| 57 | 3D Platformer + Casual1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 57 launches | 1 in 193 hits | $1,214 | $34,196 | 57 | 1-hitAudience | Pin 3D Platformer + Casual |
| 58 | Simulation + VR1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 57 launches | 1 in 193 hits | $5,100 | $49,782 | 57 | 1-hitAudience | Pin Simulation + VR |
| 59 | Fantasy + Story Rich1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 113 launches | 1 in 196 hits | $2,024 | $62,659 | 113 | Audience | Pin Fantasy + Story Rich |
| 60 | 2.5D + Casual1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 192 hits | $971 | $67,759 | 37 | Small | Pin 2.5D + Casual |
| 61 | 3D Platformer + Puzzle Platformer1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 1 in 192 hits | $5,099 | $69,220 | 37 | Small | Pin 3D Platformer + Puzzle Platformer |
| 62 | Fantasy + Female Protagonist1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 54 launches | 1 in 183 hits | $5,262 | $40,979 | 54 | 1-hit | Pin Fantasy + Female Protagonist |
| 63 | 3D Fighter + Action1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 35 launches | 1 in 182 hits | $810 | $40,509 | 35 | SmallAudience | Pin 3D Fighter + Action |
| 64 | Exploration + Party-Based RPG1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 35 launches | 1 in 182 hits | $4,007 | $97,135 | 35 | Small | Pin Exploration + Party-Based RPG |
| 65 | Linear + Story Rich1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 35 launches | 1 in 182 hits | $3,885 | $40,062 | 35 | Small | Pin Linear + Story Rich |
| 66 | Fantasy + Point & Click1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 69 launches | 1 in 174 hits | $1,214 | $40,979 | 69 | none | Pin Fantasy + Point & Click |
| 67 | 2D + JRPG1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 68 launches | 1 in 174 hits | $4,048 | $46,512 | 68 | none | Pin 2D + JRPG |
| 68 | First-Person + VR1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 51 launches | 1 in 173 hits | $3,035 | $49,782 | 51 | 1-hit | Pin First-Person + VR |
| 69 | Action + Linear1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 34 launches | 1 in 172 hits | $3,683 | $52,459 | 34 | Small | Pin Action + Linear |
| 70 | Linear + Puzzle1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 34 launches | 1 in 172 hits | $3,643 | $24,587 | 34 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Linear + Puzzle |
| 71 | Party-Based RPG + Story Rich1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 34 launches | 1 in 172 hits | $5,262 | $73,458 | 34 | Small | Pin Party-Based RPG + Story Rich |
| 72 | Casual + Hidden Object1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 118 launches | 1 in 177 hits | $1,214 | $27,319 | 118 | none | Pin Casual + Hidden Object |
| 73 | Casual + Dating Sim1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 67 launches | 1 in 174 hits | $4,006 | $65,725 | 67 | Audience | Pin Casual + Dating Sim |
| 74 | Hidden Object + Mystery1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 67 launches | 1 in 174 hits | $1,052 | $9,310 | 67 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Mystery |
| 75 | 2D + Romance1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 50 launches | 1 in 173 hits | $5,410 | $54,144 | 50 | 1-hit | Pin 2D + Romance |
Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.