Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets51 out Hide small samples44 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 162 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Management + Multiplayer33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	33 in 10015 hits	$22,885	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + Multiplayer
2	Base Building + Management32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches	32 in 10045 hits	$14,874	not computed	142	none	Pin Base Building + Management
3	Management + Open World31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	31 in 10013 hits	$18,820	not computed	42	1-hitSmallAudience	Pin Management + Open World
4	Colony Sim + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 81 launches	30 in 10024 hits	$16,148	not computed	81	none	Pin Colony Sim + Management
5	City Builder + Management28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 137 launches	28 in 10039 hits	$9,097	not computed	137	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Management
6	City Builder + Resource Management26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 105 launches	26 in 10027 hits	$6,678	not computed	105	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Resource Management
7	Management + Sandbox26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 243 launches	26 in 10062 hits	$10,522	not computed	243	none	Pin Management + Sandbox
8	Colony Sim + Resource Management25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 68 launches	25 in 10017 hits	$7,433	not computed	68	none	Pin Colony Sim + Resource Management
9	Building + Management25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 267 launches	25 in 10066 hits	$7,828	not computed	267	none	Pin Building + Management
10	Management + RTS24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	24 in 10011 hits	$5,016	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin Management + RTS
11	Building + Resource Management23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 133 launches	23 in 10031 hits	$6,474	not computed	133	1-hit	Pin Building + Resource Management
12	Resource Management + Sandbox23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches	23 in 10021 hits	$12,173	not computed	91	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Sandbox
13	Inventory Management + Roguelike23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	23 in 1009 hits	$11,002	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + Roguelike
14	Fantasy + Management22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	22 in 10010 hits	$1,556	not computed	45	Small	Pin Fantasy + Management
15	Management + Realistic22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 83 launches	22 in 10018 hits	$12,138	not computed	83	1-hit	Pin Management + Realistic
16	Cooking + Management21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 81 launches	21 in 10017 hits	$6,467	not computed	81	Audience	Pin Cooking + Management
17	Exploration + Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 88 launches	20 in 10018 hits	$5,664	not computed	88	1-hitAudience	Pin Exploration + Management
18	Building + Time Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches	20 in 10014 hits	$3,683	not computed	69	1-hit	Pin Building + Time Management
19	Management + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 272 launches	20 in 10055 hits	$4,388	not computed	272	1-hit	Pin Management + Resource Management
20	Base Building + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 155 launches	20 in 10031 hits	$6,678	not computed	155	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Resource Management
21	Crafting + Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 143 launches	20 in 10028 hits	$6,878	not computed	143	1-hit	Pin Crafting + Management
22	Character Customization + Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	19 in 10010 hits	$7,589	not computed	52	none	Pin Character Customization + Management
23	Capitalism + Time Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	19 in 1009 hits	$3,683	not computed	48	Small	Pin Capitalism + Time Management
24	Automation + Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 134 launches	19 in 10025 hits	$3,034	not computed	134	1-hit	Pin Automation + Management
25	Management + Trading19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 97 launches	19 in 10018 hits	$12,140	not computed	97	1-hit	Pin Management + Trading

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 162 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.