Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets99 out Hide small samples51 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 310 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	FMV + RPG26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 74 launches	26 in 10019 hits	$24,033	not computed	74	Audience	Pin FMV + RPG
2	Action RPG + Sandbox24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	24 in 10011 hits	$1,314	not computed	45	SmallAudience	Pin Action RPG + Sandbox
3	Base Building + RPG22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches	22 in 10014 hits	$8,255	not computed	63	none	Pin Base Building + RPG
4	Online Co-Op + RPG22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	22 in 10011 hits	$4,207	not computed	51	1-hitAudience	Pin Online Co-Op + RPG
5	RPG + Turn-Based20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	20 in 10010 hits	$20,240	not computed	49	1-hitSmall	Pin RPG + Turn-Based
6	Action RPG + Isometric20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	20 in 10013 hits	$2,428	not computed	66	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Isometric
7	Multiplayer + RPG19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	19 in 10013 hits	$1,778	not computed	67	none	Pin Multiplayer + RPG
8	RPG + Sandbox19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 165 launches	19 in 10031 hits	$2,185	not computed	165	none	Pin RPG + Sandbox
9	Metroidvania + RPG19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	19 in 10013 hits	$2,367	not computed	70	none	Pin Metroidvania + RPG
10	Action RPG + Loot19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	19 in 10010 hits	$4,048	not computed	54	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Loot
11	Open World + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 249 launches	18 in 10046 hits	$2,428	not computed	249	1-hit	Pin Open World + RPG
12	RPG + Tactical18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	18 in 1009 hits	$9,791	not computed	49	1-hitSmall	Pin RPG + Tactical
13	Story Rich + Strategy RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	18 in 1008 hits	$2,183	not computed	45	SmallAudience	Pin Story Rich + Strategy RPG
14	Inventory Management + RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$9,111	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin Inventory Management + RPG
15	Action RPG + Character Customization17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	17 in 10015 hits	$1,011	not computed	86	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Character Customization
16	Cinematic + RPG17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches	17 in 10010 hits	$1,691	not computed	58	Audience	Pin Cinematic + RPG
17	Action RPG + Dark Fantasy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 99 launches	17 in 10017 hits	$1,819	not computed	99	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Dark Fantasy
18	Farming Sim + RPG17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	17 in 10014 hits	$8,294	not computed	82	Audience	Pin Farming Sim + RPG
19	Crafting + RPG17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 125 launches	17 in 10021 hits	$4,048	not computed	125	none	Pin Crafting + RPG
20	Management + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches	16 in 10015 hits	$4,613	not computed	91	Audience	Pin Management + RPG
21	Loot + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 111 launches	16 in 10018 hits	$1,718	not computed	111	1-hitAudience	Pin Loot + RPG
22	Building + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	16 in 10010 hits	$4,248	not computed	62	none	Pin Building + RPG
23	Immersive Sim + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 176 launches	16 in 10028 hits	$1,332	not computed	176	Audience	Pin Immersive Sim + RPG
24	Life Sim + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 176 launches	16 in 10028 hits	$3,305	not computed	176	Audience	Pin Life Sim + RPG
25	Isometric + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	16 in 10013 hits	$1,943	not computed	82	1-hit	Pin Isometric + RPG

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 310 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.