Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets96 out Hide small samples48 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 326 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	2D + Music18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	18 in 1007 hits	$1,112	not computed	40	SmallAudience	Pin 2D + Music
2	2D + Metroidvania15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 190 launches	15 in 10028 hits	$1,840	not computed	190	1-hit	Pin 2D + Metroidvania
3	2D + Investigation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches	13 in 1009 hits	$1,620	not computed	69	none	Pin 2D + Investigation
4	2D Fighter + Multiplayer13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	13 in 1007 hits	$809	not computed	56	Audience	Pin 2D Fighter + Multiplayer
5	2D Platformer + Metroidvania12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 187 launches	12 in 10023 hits	$1,695	not computed	187	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Metroidvania
6	2D + Souls-like11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches	11 in 10012 hits	$867	not computed	108	1-hitAudience	Pin 2D + Souls-like
7	2D + Gambling10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	10 in 1004 hits	$323	not computed	39	1-hitSmall	Pin 2D + Gambling
8	2D + Open World1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 87 launches	1 in 118 hits	$646	not computed	87	1-hit	Pin 2D + Open World
9	2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	1 in 116 hits	$4,046	not computed	67	Audience	Pin 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder
10	2D + Co-op1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	1 in 126 hits	$727	not computed	70	Audience	Pin 2D + Co-op
11	2D + Mystery1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 269 launches	1 in 1223 hits	$810	not computed	269	none	Pin 2D + Mystery
12	2D + Life Sim1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 193 launches	1 in 1216 hits	$405	not computed	193	none	Pin 2D + Life Sim
13	2D + Grand Strategy1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	1 in 124 hits	$1,330	not computed	49	Small	Pin 2D + Grand Strategy
14	2D Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	1 in 124 hits	$1,416	not computed	49	Small	Pin 2D Platformer + Choose Your Own Adventure
15	2D Platformer + Anime1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 187 launches	1 in 1314 hits	$779	not computed	187	Audience	Pin 2D Platformer + Anime
16	2D + Survival Horror1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	1 in 143 hits	$303	not computed	42	1-hitSmall	Pin 2D + Survival Horror
17	2D + Deckbuilding1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 243 launches	1 in 1516 hits	$808	not computed	243	none	Pin 2D + Deckbuilding
18	2D Platformer + Combat1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 77 launches	1 in 155 hits	$121	not computed	77	Audience	Pin 2D Platformer + Combat
19	2D Platformer + Sci-fi1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 77 launches	1 in 155 hits	$364	not computed	77	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Sci-fi
20	2D Platformer + Female Protagonist1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 170 launches	1 in 1511 hits	$808	not computed	170	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Female Protagonist
21	2D Platformer + Dark Fantasy1 in 16 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	1 in 163 hits	$1,314	not computed	47	1-hitSmall	Pin 2D Platformer + Dark Fantasy
22	2D Platformer + Beat 'em up1 in 16 earned $100k+, from 63 launches	1 in 164 hits	$303	not computed	63	1-hit	Pin 2D Platformer + Beat 'em up
23	2D Fighter + Combat1 in 16 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	1 in 163 hits	$101	not computed	49	1-hitSmall	Pin 2D Fighter + Combat
24	2D + Female Protagonist1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 502 launches	1 in 1729 hits	$842	not computed	502	1-hit	Pin 2D + Female Protagonist
25	2D Platformer + 3D Platformer1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	1 in 173 hits	$182	not computed	52	1-hitAudience	Pin 2D Platformer + 3D Platformer

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 326 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.