Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets113 out Hide small samples43 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 281 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	3D + Co-op16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 145 launches	16 in 10023 hits	$1,112	not computed	145	none	Pin 3D + Co-op
2	3D + Online Co-Op15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 152 launches	15 in 10023 hits	$1,698	not computed	152	none	Pin 3D + Online Co-Op
3	3D + Cozy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches	13 in 1008 hits	$2,425	not computed	60	none	Pin 3D + Cozy
4	3D + Automation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	13 in 1006 hits	$808	not computed	45	Small	Pin 3D + Automation
5	3D + Multiplayer13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 344 launches	13 in 10045 hits	$971	not computed	344	none	Pin 3D + Multiplayer
6	3D + Farming Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 64 launches	13 in 1008 hits	$910	not computed	64	1-hit	Pin 3D + Farming Sim
7	3D + Management12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 239 launches	12 in 10028 hits	$2,367	not computed	239	1-hit	Pin 3D + Management
8	3D + Open World10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 243 launches	10 in 10025 hits	$646	not computed	243	none	Pin 3D + Open World
9	3D Platformer + Female Protagonist10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	10 in 1008 hits	$789	not computed	79	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Female Protagonist
10	3D + Crafting1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 102 launches	1 in 1010 hits	$809	not computed	102	none	Pin 3D + Crafting
11	3D + Spectacle fighter1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	1 in 106 hits	$323	not computed	62	none	Pin 3D + Spectacle fighter
12	3D + Sandbox1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 396 launches	1 in 1137 hits	$808	not computed	396	none	Pin 3D + Sandbox
13	3D + Comedy1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 196 launches	1 in 1118 hits	$707	not computed	196	1-hit	Pin 3D + Comedy
14	3D + Cooking1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 77 launches	1 in 117 hits	$1,112	not computed	77	none	Pin 3D + Cooking
15	3D + Gambling1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 44 launches	1 in 114 hits	$809	not computed	44	Small	Pin 3D + Gambling
16	3D + Driving1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 210 launches	1 in 1119 hits	$647	not computed	210	none	Pin 3D + Driving
17	3D + Base Building1 in 11 earned $100k+, from 101 launches	1 in 119 hits	$809	not computed	101	1-hit	Pin 3D + Base Building
18	3D + Life Sim1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 337 launches	1 in 1229 hits	$1,314	not computed	337	none	Pin 3D + Life Sim
19	3D Platformer + Anime1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	1 in 124 hits	$363	not computed	47	Small	Pin 3D Platformer + Anime
20	3D + Building1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 200 launches	1 in 1217 hits	$1,010	not computed	200	1-hit	Pin 3D + Building
21	3D + Economy1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 119 launches	1 in 1210 hits	$2,972	not computed	119	1-hit	Pin 3D + Economy
22	3D + Wargame1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 112 launches	1 in 129 hits	$486	not computed	112	none	Pin 3D + Wargame
23	3D + Crime1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	1 in 134 hits	$1,052	not computed	50	1-hit	Pin 3D + Crime
24	3D + Lore-Rich1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	1 in 134 hits	$806	not computed	50	none	Pin 3D + Lore-Rich
25	3D Platformer + Open World1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	1 in 134 hits	$390	not computed	52	1-hit	Pin 3D Platformer + Open World

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 281 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.