Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets162 out Hide small samples57 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 455 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Action Roguelike + Online Co-Op26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches	26 in 10020 hits	$8,901	not computed	77	Audience	Pin Action Roguelike + Online Co-Op
2	Action RPG + Sandbox24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	24 in 10011 hits	$1,314	not computed	45	SmallAudience	Pin Action RPG + Sandbox
3	Action Roguelike + Co-op24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	24 in 10018 hits	$8,901	not computed	75	none	Pin Action Roguelike + Co-op
4	Action Roguelike + Multiplayer21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches	21 in 10013 hits	$5,262	not computed	63	none	Pin Action Roguelike + Multiplayer
5	Action + Mechs20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	20 in 10012 hits	$4,451	not computed	59	none	Pin Action + Mechs
6	Action RPG + Isometric20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	20 in 10013 hits	$2,428	not computed	66	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Isometric
7	Action Roguelike + Isometric20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	20 in 10011 hits	$2,428	not computed	56	none	Pin Action Roguelike + Isometric
8	Action-Adventure + Gore19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	19 in 1008 hits	$666	not computed	42	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Gore
9	Action RPG + Loot19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	19 in 10010 hits	$4,048	not computed	54	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Loot
10	Action + Co-op18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 302 launches	18 in 10053 hits	$2,731	not computed	302	none	Pin Action + Co-op
11	Action RPG + Character Customization17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	17 in 10015 hits	$1,011	not computed	86	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Character Customization
12	Action-Adventure + Co-op17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	17 in 10015 hits	$2,549	not computed	86	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Co-op
13	Action Roguelike + Loot17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	17 in 1008 hits	$2,123	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin Action Roguelike + Loot
14	Action RPG + Dark Fantasy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 99 launches	17 in 10017 hits	$1,819	not computed	99	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Dark Fantasy
15	Action + Music17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches	17 in 1008 hits	$3,420	not computed	47	Small	Pin Action + Music
16	Action Roguelike + Bullet Heaven17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches	17 in 10018 hits	$5,344	not computed	107	1-hit	Pin Action Roguelike + Bullet Heaven
17	Action + Building16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 73 launches	16 in 10012 hits	$1,214	not computed	73	none	Pin Action + Building
18	Action + Crime16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	16 in 1009 hits	$1,214	not computed	56	1-hit	Pin Action + Crime
19	Action + Loot16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	16 in 10012 hits	$991	not computed	75	1-hit	Pin Action + Loot
20	Action Roguelike + Anime16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	16 in 1008 hits	$3,896	not computed	51	1-hit	Pin Action Roguelike + Anime
21	Action RPG + Open World15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 125 launches	15 in 10019 hits	$1,801	not computed	125	1-hit	Pin Action RPG + Open World
22	Action + Crafting15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches	15 in 10016 hits	$2,448	not computed	107	Audience	Pin Action + Crafting
23	Action + Bullet Heaven15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	15 in 1009 hits	$3,638	not computed	61	1-hit	Pin Action + Bullet Heaven
24	Action + Fighting15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 68 launches	15 in 10010 hits	$2,427	not computed	68	1-hitAudience	Pin Action + Fighting
25	Action-Adventure + Metroidvania15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 199 launches	15 in 10029 hits	$2,023	not computed	199	Audience	Pin Action-Adventure + Metroidvania

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 455 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.