Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets77 out Hide small samples39 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 262 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Sandbox + Strategy22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 279 launches	22 in 10062 hits	$3,683	not computed	279	1-hit	Pin Sandbox + Strategy
2	Colony Sim + Strategy22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 150 launches	22 in 10033 hits	$2,689	not computed	150	none	Pin Colony Sim + Strategy
3	Base Building + Strategy19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 307 launches	19 in 10059 hits	$3,399	not computed	307	none	Pin Base Building + Strategy
4	Open World + Strategy19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	19 in 10011 hits	$2,185	not computed	59	Audience	Pin Open World + Strategy
5	Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	18 in 10012 hits	$5,944	not computed	66	1-hit	Pin Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy
6	Building + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 354 launches	18 in 10063 hits	$1,942	not computed	354	none	Pin Building + Strategy
7	Story Rich + Strategy RPG18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	18 in 1008 hits	$2,183	not computed	45	SmallAudience	Pin Story Rich + Strategy RPG
8	Story Rich + Turn-Based Strategy17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	17 in 10013 hits	$4,803	not computed	75	none	Pin Story Rich + Turn-Based Strategy
9	Management + Strategy16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 530 launches	16 in 10087 hits	$2,731	not computed	530	none	Pin Management + Strategy
10	City Builder + Strategy16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 329 launches	16 in 10054 hits	$1,942	not computed	329	1-hitAudience	Pin City Builder + Strategy
11	Strategy + Turn-Based16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches	16 in 10020 hits	$6,073	not computed	122	none	Pin Strategy + Turn-Based
12	Character Customization + Turn-Based Strategy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches	15 in 1008 hits	$2,315	not computed	52	1-hit	Pin Character Customization + Turn-Based Strategy
13	Loot + Strategy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches	15 in 1008 hits	$1,213	not computed	53	1-hit	Pin Loot + Strategy
14	Character Customization + Strategy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches	15 in 10018 hits	$1,456	not computed	122	1-hit	Pin Character Customization + Strategy
15	Historical + Strategy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 163 launches	15 in 10024 hits	$4,048	not computed	163	1-hit	Pin Historical + Strategy
16	Tactical + Turn-Based Strategy15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 102 launches	15 in 10015 hits	$2,123	not computed	102	none	Pin Tactical + Turn-Based Strategy
17	Economy + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 230 launches	14 in 10033 hits	$2,183	not computed	230	none	Pin Economy + Strategy
18	Automation + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 137 launches	14 in 10019 hits	$2,225	not computed	137	none	Pin Automation + Strategy
19	Resource Management + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 365 launches	13 in 10049 hits	$2,024	not computed	365	1-hit	Pin Resource Management + Strategy
20	Interactive Fiction + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	13 in 10011 hits	$501	not computed	82	Audience	Pin Interactive Fiction + Strategy
21	Roguelike Deckbuilder + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 230 launches	13 in 10030 hits	$7,649	not computed	230	1-hit	Pin Roguelike Deckbuilder + Strategy
22	Crafting + Strategy13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 124 launches	13 in 10016 hits	$1,819	not computed	124	none	Pin Crafting + Strategy
23	Grand Strategy + Simulation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 110 launches	13 in 10014 hits	$3,034	not computed	110	1-hit	Pin Grand Strategy + Simulation
24	Story Rich + Strategy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 175 launches	12 in 10021 hits	$2,328	not computed	175	none	Pin Story Rich + Strategy
25	Roguelike Deckbuilder + Turn-Based Strategy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	12 in 1009 hits	$6,799	not computed	75	Audience	Pin Roguelike Deckbuilder + Turn-Based Strategy

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 262 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.