Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Niches 1 Oct

Of 5,145 niches with 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout, 1,928 beat the 1 in 16 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.1,928 of 5,145 niches beat the 1 in 16 base rate.1,928 beat the base rate.

Cohort median $606

Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100
1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.
Hide one-hit markets1,728 outHide small samples975 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#NicheChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat 1 in 161,804 of 29,637 $606not computed 29,637
1 47 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches 47 in 10020 hits $83,230 not computed 43 1-hitSmall Pin Co-op + Open World
2 39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches 39 in 10021 hits $47,398 not computed 54 none Pin FMV + Immersive Sim
3 39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches 39 in 10017 hits $66,831 not computed 44 SmallAudience Pin FMV + Multiple Endings
4 38 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches 38 in 10016 hits $38,616 not computed 42 SmallAudience Pin Co-op + Sandbox
5 37 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches 37 in 10016 hits $43,313 not computed 43 1-hitSmall Pin Base Building + Multiplayer
6 37 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches 37 in 10016 hits $24,883 not computed 43 SmallAudience Pin Cozy + Story Rich
7 37 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches 37 in 10018 hits $35,252 not computed 49 SmallAudience Pin Cinematic + FMV
8 36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 44 launches 36 in 10016 hits $21,307 not computed 44 SmallAudience Pin Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox
9 36 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 36 in 10017 hits $37,241 not computed 47 1-hitSmall Pin Crafting + Multiplayer
10 35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches 35 in 10018 hits $40,281 not computed 51 1-hit Pin Base Building + Open World Survival Craft
11 35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches 35 in 10024 hits $12,947 not computed 69 1-hit Pin Character Customization + Open World
12 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches 34 in 10014 hits $33,263 not computed 41 Small Pin Simulation + Wholesome
13 34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 34 in 10016 hits $27,526 not computed 47 Small Pin Online Co-Op + Sandbox
14 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches 33 in 10026 hits $24,891 not computed 78 none Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox
15 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches 33 in 10016 hits $38,616 not computed 48 SmallAudience Pin Building + Multiplayer
16 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 100 launches 33 in 10033 hits $27,623 not computed 100 none Pin Base Building + Colony Sim
17 33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches 33 in 10015 hits $22,885 not computed 46 1-hitSmall Pin Management + Multiplayer
18 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches 32 in 10024 hits $21,307 not computed 75 none Pin Open World Survival Craft + Survival
19 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 32 in 10015 hits $17,098 not computed 47 Small Pin City Builder + Survival
20 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 32 in 10015 hits $11,231 not computed 47 1-hitSmallAudience Pin Co-op + Roguelike
21 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 32 in 10015 hits $10,722 not computed 47 Small Pin Online Co-Op + Roguelike
22 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches 32 in 10021 hits $37,833 not computed 66 Audience Pin Dating Sim + FMV
23 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches 32 in 10045 hits $14,874 not computed 142 none Pin Base Building + Management
24 32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches 32 in 10025 hits $24,891 not computed 79 1-hit Pin Multiplayer + Open World
25 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches 31 in 10016 hits $3,436 not computed 51 none Pin Co-op + FPS
26 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches 31 in 10021 hits $8,499 not computed 67 Audience Pin Colony Sim + Sandbox
27 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 166 launches 31 in 10052 hits $8,568 not computed 166 Audience Pin Base Building + Sandbox
28 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 71 launches 31 in 10022 hits $37,833 not computed 71 Audience Pin FMV + Visual Novel
29 31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches 31 in 10013 hits $18,820 not computed 42 1-hitSmallAudience Pin Management + Open World
30 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches 30 in 10015 hits $22,342 not computed 50 none Pin Cozy + Farming Sim
31 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches 30 in 10014 hits $12,463 not computed 47 Small Pin Medieval + Sandbox
32 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 81 launches 30 in 10024 hits $16,148 not computed 81 none Pin Colony Sim + Management
33 30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches 30 in 10018 hits $29,142 not computed 61 1-hit Pin Crafting + Open World Survival Craft
34 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches 29 in 10024 hits $15,273 not computed 82 1-hit Pin Co-op + Survival
35 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches 29 in 10019 hits $6,069 not computed 65 none Pin Driving + Open World
36 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches 29 in 10018 hits $3,544 not computed 62 none Pin Driving + Exploration
37 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches 29 in 10017 hits $15,561 not computed 59 none Pin Cozy + Life Sim
38 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches 29 in 10017 hits $3,338 not computed 59 1-hit Pin Crime + Simulation
39 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 146 launches 29 in 10042 hits $18,453 not computed 146 1-hit Pin Base Building + Crafting
40 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches 29 in 10028 hits $8,185 not computed 98 none Pin Co-op + PvE
41 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches 29 in 10026 hits $7,642 not computed 91 none Pin Multiplayer + Realistic
42 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches 29 in 10014 hits $18,820 not computed 49 1-hitSmall Pin Online Co-Op + Open World
43 29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches 29 in 10012 hits $22,342 not computed 42 Small Pin Desktop Companion + Relaxing
44 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 137 launches 28 in 10039 hits $9,097 not computed 137 1-hit Pin City Builder + Management
45 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 138 launches 28 in 10039 hits $8,496 not computed 138 1-hit Pin City Builder + Sandbox
46 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 92 launches 28 in 10026 hits $10,722 not computed 92 1-hit Pin Base Building + Open World
47 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches 28 in 10014 hits $5,262 not computed 50 1-hitAudience Pin Multiplayer + Roguelike
48 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches 28 in 10021 hits $9,708 not computed 76 Audience Pin Adventure + Cozy
49 28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches 28 in 10021 hits $14,794 not computed 76 Audience Pin Life Sim + Open World
50 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 147 launches 27 in 10040 hits $9,410 not computed 147 1-hit Pin Base Building + City Builder
51 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches 27 in 10033 hits $7,080 not computed 122 none Pin City Builder + Colony Sim
52 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 63 launches 27 in 10017 hits $10,017 not computed 63 none Pin Co-op + Roguelite
53 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 52 launches 27 in 10014 hits $20,710 not computed 52 none Pin Open World + Open World Survival Craft
54 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches 27 in 10011 hits $16,989 not computed 41 Small Pin Immersive Sim + Online Co-Op
55 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches 27 in 10011 hits $1,837 not computed 41 1-hitSmall Pin Military + Realistic
56 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches 27 in 10045 hits $9,903 not computed 168 none Pin Base Building + Survival
57 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches 27 in 10015 hits $7,485 not computed 56 none Pin FPS + Online Co-Op
58 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 127 launches 27 in 10034 hits $4,857 not computed 127 Audience Pin Base Building + Exploration
59 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches 27 in 10023 hits $12,110 not computed 86 none Pin Cozy + Exploration
60 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches 27 in 10012 hits $33,405 not computed 45 SmallAudience Pin FMV + First-Person
61 27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches 27 in 10013 hits $17,006 not computed 49 SmallAudience Pin FMV + Simulation
62 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches 26 in 10015 hits $18,780 not computed 57 1-hit Pin Exploration + Open World Survival Craft
63 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches 26 in 10012 hits $16,345 not computed 46 SmallAudience Pin Casual + Desktop Companion
64 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 123 launches 26 in 10032 hits $10,722 not computed 123 1-hit Pin Crafting + Open World
65 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches 26 in 10020 hits $8,901 not computed 77 Audience Pin Action Roguelike + Online Co-Op
66 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches 26 in 10020 hits $3,256 not computed 77 1-hit Pin Dark Fantasy + Souls-like
67 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 85 launches 26 in 10022 hits $8,726 not computed 85 none Pin Building + Open World
68 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 58 launches 26 in 10015 hits $13,053 not computed 58 none Pin Online Co-Op + Roguelite
69 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches 26 in 10024 hits $20,027 not computed 93 Audience Pin FMV + Interactive Fiction
70 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 93 launches 26 in 10024 hits $4,731 not computed 93 Audience Pin Online Co-Op + Survival
71 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 105 launches 26 in 10027 hits $6,678 not computed 105 1-hit Pin City Builder + Resource Management
72 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 74 launches 26 in 10019 hits $24,033 not computed 74 Audience Pin FMV + RPG
73 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches 26 in 10011 hits $10,665 not computed 43 Small Pin Online Co-Op + Realistic
74 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 180 launches 26 in 10046 hits $7,433 not computed 180 1-hit Pin Base Building + Simulation
75 26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 243 launches 26 in 10062 hits $10,522 not computed 243 none Pin Management + Sandbox
Show 25 moreShowing 75 of 5,145 niches
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.